Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shanghai’s July 27 maximum near 33–34 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with overcast skies limiting daytime heating while high humidity and light winds maintain elevated heat indices. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 33–36 °C reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty: minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of any afternoon sea breeze can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city center add another 1 °C locally relative to airport observations used for official records. With landfall or monsoon influences still days away, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs and historical July analogs showing frequent 34–35 °C peaks during similar synoptic patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 27?
34°C 30%
35°C 30%
33°C 19%
36°C 13%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
8%
33°C
19%
34°C
30%
35°C
30%
36°C
13%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 30%
35°C 30%
33°C 19%
36°C 13%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
8%
33°C
19%
34°C
30%
35°C
30%
36°C
13%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Shanghai’s July 27 maximum near 33–34 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with overcast skies limiting daytime heating while high humidity and light winds maintain elevated heat indices. The tight clustering of market probabilities around 33–36 °C reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty: minor differences in predicted cloud thickness, boundary-layer mixing, and the strength of any afternoon sea breeze can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects in the densely built city center add another 1 °C locally relative to airport observations used for official records. With landfall or monsoon influences still days away, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs and historical July analogs showing frequent 34–35 °C peaks during similar synoptic patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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