Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's July 27 daytime maximum will likely peak near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with early thunderstorms possible. This consensus, tempered by high humidity and monsoon moisture that can suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and rainfall, drives the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 30–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and precipitation timing explain the spread: stronger convection or earlier rain lowers peaks toward 30 °C, while clearer breaks allow brief pushes above 32 °C. Historical July baselines near 29 °C and current subtropical ridge positioning further anchor trader assessments of these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on July 27?
Highest temperature in Seoul on July 27?
31°C 36%
30°C 28%
29°C 15%
32°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 27, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
15%
30°C
28%
31°C
36%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
4%
31°C 36%
30°C 28%
29°C 15%
32°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 27, 2026
23°C or below
$533 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$393 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$230 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$350 Wol.
1%
27°C
$123 Wol.
1%
28°C
$527 Wol.
8%
29°C
$270 Wol.
15%
30°C
$553 Wol.
28%
31°C
$694 Wol.
36%
32°C
$209 Wol.
13%
33°C or higher
$1,113 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's July 27 daytime maximum will likely peak near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with early thunderstorms possible. This consensus, tempered by high humidity and monsoon moisture that can suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and rainfall, drives the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 30–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and precipitation timing explain the spread: stronger convection or earlier rain lowers peaks toward 30 °C, while clearer breaks allow brief pushes above 32 °C. Historical July baselines near 29 °C and current subtropical ridge positioning further anchor trader assessments of these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,957Data zakończenia
Jul 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's July 27 daytime maximum will likely peak near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with early thunderstorms possible. This consensus, tempered by high humidity and monsoon moisture that can suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and rainfall, drives the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 30–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and precipitation timing explain the spread: stronger convection or earlier rain lowers peaks toward 30 °C, while clearer breaks allow brief pushes above 32 °C. Historical July baselines near 29 °C and current subtropical ridge positioning further anchor trader assessments of these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,957Data zakończenia
Jul 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Seoul's July 27 daytime maximum will likely peak near 31–32 °C under partly cloudy skies with early thunderstorms possible. This consensus, tempered by high humidity and monsoon moisture that can suppress afternoon heating through cloud cover and rainfall, drives the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 30–32 °C. Subtle differences in steering flow and precipitation timing explain the spread: stronger convection or earlier rain lowers peaks toward 30 °C, while clearer breaks allow brief pushes above 32 °C. Historical July baselines near 29 °C and current subtropical ridge positioning further anchor trader assessments of these narrow thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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