Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,493 Wol.
$82,493 Wol.
Apr 18, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,493 Wol.
$82,493 Wol.
Apr 18, 2026
22°C or below
$3,215 Wol.
No
23°C
$2,229 Wol.
No
24°C
$2,381 Wol.
No
25°C
$6,373 Wol.
No
26°C
$5,539 Wol.
No
27°C
$5,553 Wol.
No
28°C
$8,885 Wol.
No
29°C
$12,135 Wol.
No
30°C
$11,590 Wol.
Yes
31°C
$14,498 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$10,094 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Wolumen
$82,493Data zakończenia
Apr 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$82,493Data zakończenia
Apr 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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