Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 80s for Chicago on August 16, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and absence of a strong frontal passage. Normal highs for the date average near 83°F, so current conditions support modest above-normal readings without extreme heat advection. Updated short-range forecasts from NWS Chicago and ensemble runs have stabilized around this range, reinforcing trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at 48% implied probability while keeping 84-85°F and 88-89°F as viable alternatives at 26.5% and 20.5%. Resolution hinges on official observations from Chicago O’Hare or Midway, with any late-day cooling or unexpected convection capable of shifting the peak downward.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 16?
86-87°F 48%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 22%
82-83°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
48%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 48%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 22%
82-83°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
77°F or below
$779 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$96 Wol.
1%
80-81°F
$168 Wol.
2%
82-83°F
$352 Wol.
4%
84-85°F
$712 Wol.
27%
86-87°F
$297 Wol.
48%
88-89°F
$493 Wol.
22%
90-91°F
$991 Wol.
2%
92-93°F
$111 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$237 Wol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$286 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 80s for Chicago on August 16, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and absence of a strong frontal passage. Normal highs for the date average near 83°F, so current conditions support modest above-normal readings without extreme heat advection. Updated short-range forecasts from NWS Chicago and ensemble runs have stabilized around this range, reinforcing trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at 48% implied probability while keeping 84-85°F and 88-89°F as viable alternatives at 26.5% and 20.5%. Resolution hinges on official observations from Chicago O’Hare or Midway, with any late-day cooling or unexpected convection capable of shifting the peak downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,522Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 80s for Chicago on August 16, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and absence of a strong frontal passage. Normal highs for the date average near 83°F, so current conditions support modest above-normal readings without extreme heat advection. Updated short-range forecasts from NWS Chicago and ensemble runs have stabilized around this range, reinforcing trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at 48% implied probability while keeping 84-85°F and 88-89°F as viable alternatives at 26.5% and 20.5%. Resolution hinges on official observations from Chicago O’Hare or Midway, with any late-day cooling or unexpected convection capable of shifting the peak downward.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,522Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a daytime high in the mid-to-upper 80s for Chicago on August 16, driven by southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and absence of a strong frontal passage. Normal highs for the date average near 83°F, so current conditions support modest above-normal readings without extreme heat advection. Updated short-range forecasts from NWS Chicago and ensemble runs have stabilized around this range, reinforcing trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin at 48% implied probability while keeping 84-85°F and 88-89°F as viable alternatives at 26.5% and 20.5%. Resolution hinges on official observations from Chicago O’Hare or Midway, with any late-day cooling or unexpected convection capable of shifting the peak downward.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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