Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Chicago on July 26 centers on daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the market's tight clustering around 88–93°F reflecting modest spread in forecast solutions. Key variables include the strength and position of a surface ridge, boundary-layer moisture content, and any afternoon convective development that could enhance cloud cover and cap maximum temperatures. Historical July averages near 85°F provide context, while current steering patterns and lack of strong warm advection limit upside potential beyond the mid-90s. Traders are weighting official station readings at Midway or O’Hare, where even small shifts in timing of any showers or breaks in cloud cover could move the outcome between the leading brackets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on July 26?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 26?
90-91°F 29%
88-89°F 22%
92-93°F 22%
86-87°F 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 26, 2026
85°F or below
3%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
29%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 29%
88-89°F 22%
92-93°F 22%
86-87°F 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 26, 2026
85°F or below
$33 Wol.
3%
86-87°F
$400 Wol.
15%
88-89°F
$194 Wol.
22%
90-91°F
$147 Wol.
29%
92-93°F
$35 Wol.
22%
94-95°F
$85 Wol.
12%
96-97°F
$184 Wol.
2%
98-99°F
$561 Wol.
2%
100-101°F
$413 Wol.
<1%
102-103°F
$140 Wol.
1%
104°F or higher
$200 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Chicago on July 26 centers on daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the market's tight clustering around 88–93°F reflecting modest spread in forecast solutions. Key variables include the strength and position of a surface ridge, boundary-layer moisture content, and any afternoon convective development that could enhance cloud cover and cap maximum temperatures. Historical July averages near 85°F provide context, while current steering patterns and lack of strong warm advection limit upside potential beyond the mid-90s. Traders are weighting official station readings at Midway or O’Hare, where even small shifts in timing of any showers or breaks in cloud cover could move the outcome between the leading brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,393Data zakończenia
Jul 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Chicago on July 26 centers on daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the market's tight clustering around 88–93°F reflecting modest spread in forecast solutions. Key variables include the strength and position of a surface ridge, boundary-layer moisture content, and any afternoon convective development that could enhance cloud cover and cap maximum temperatures. Historical July averages near 85°F provide context, while current steering patterns and lack of strong warm advection limit upside potential beyond the mid-90s. Traders are weighting official station readings at Midway or O’Hare, where even small shifts in timing of any showers or breaks in cloud cover could move the outcome between the leading brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,393Data zakończenia
Jul 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Chicago on July 26 centers on daytime highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with the market's tight clustering around 88–93°F reflecting modest spread in forecast solutions. Key variables include the strength and position of a surface ridge, boundary-layer moisture content, and any afternoon convective development that could enhance cloud cover and cap maximum temperatures. Historical July averages near 85°F provide context, while current steering patterns and lack of strong warm advection limit upside potential beyond the mid-90s. Traders are weighting official station readings at Midway or O’Hare, where even small shifts in timing of any showers or breaks in cloud cover could move the outcome between the leading brackets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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