Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on June 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 17?
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,052 Wol.
$86,052 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
25°C or below
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
25°C or below 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$86,052 Wol.
$86,052 Wol.
Jun 17, 2026
25°C or below
$29,723 Wol.
Yes
26°C
$8,802 Wol.
No
27°C
$6,243 Wol.
No
28°C
$7,702 Wol.
No
29°C
$5,915 Wol.
No
30°C
$10,023 Wol.
No
31°C
$5,392 Wol.
No
32°C
$7,133 Wol.
No
33°C
$3,354 Wol.
No
34°C
$991 Wol.
No
35°C or higher
$774 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$86,052Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$86,052Data zakończenia
Jun 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 12:13 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: Yes
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Yes
Persistent cloud cover, widespread rainfall, and a cool northerly airflow have kept maximum temperatures in Chongqing well below seasonal norms on June 17, with official observations confirming readings at or under 25 °C through midday. These conditions suppress surface heating and limit diurnal temperature rise, consistent with current model consensus from regional meteorological agencies. The market’s 100 % implied probability for 25 °C or below reflects this strong, observation-backed consensus. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected shift in steering flow could allow greater insolation and push afternoon highs above the threshold, though such developments appear unlikely given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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