**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 50°F or higher in Denver on April 28 (100% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service (NWS) Boulder forecast consensus projecting a daytime peak near 55–58°F under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers.** Current observations at Denver International Airport show midday temperatures already reaching 48°F, consistent with model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicating weak upper-level troughing yielding mild advection and limited cooling potential. April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 60°F and rare dips below 50°F on clear-tracking days. Realistic challenges include unexpected reinforcement of northerly winds or persistent thunderstorm activity capping peaks below 50°F, though low-level moisture profiles and steering currents make this unlikely; watch afternoon NWS updates for final model runs.**
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on April 28?
50°F or higher 100.0%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$23,906 Wol.
$23,906 Wol.
31°F or below
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50°F or higher
Yes
50°F or higher 100.0%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$23,906 Wol.
$23,906 Wol.
31°F or below
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 26, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 50°F or higher in Denver on April 28 (100% implied probability), driven by the National Weather Service (NWS) Boulder forecast consensus projecting a daytime peak near 55–58°F under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers.** Current observations at Denver International Airport show midday temperatures already reaching 48°F, consistent with model guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles indicating weak upper-level troughing yielding mild advection and limited cooling potential. April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 60°F and rare dips below 50°F on clear-tracking days. Realistic challenges include unexpected reinforcement of northerly winds or persistent thunderstorm activity capping peaks below 50°F, though low-level moisture profiles and steering currents make this unlikely; watch afternoon NWS updates for final model runs.**
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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