**Trader sentiment for Denver's June 30 high temperature centers on the 90–93°F range (combined ~58.5% implied probability), consistent with late-June forecast guidance showing highs in the upper 80s to mid-90s amid a warm, stable high-pressure pattern.** National Weather Service and AccuWeather outlooks place the daily high near or slightly above seasonal normals (average late-June highs ~85–90°F), driven by southerly flow, downslope warming along the Front Range, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. Recent days have featured actual highs of 94–97°F under similar conditions, supporting the market's tight clustering around 90–93°F as models converge on modest day-to-day variability from wind shifts or boundary-layer mixing. Lower-probability bins (e.g., 94–95°F at 11%) reflect residual uncertainty in peak heating if mixing is stronger or if any high clouds arrive, while sub-88°F outcomes remain discounted absent a stronger cool-air intrusion. The narrow spread between leading bins underscores genuine forecast uncertainty typical 24–48 hours out, where small changes in timing or local effects can shift the exact maximum by 2–4°F. Updated NWS model runs and evening briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on June 30?
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$53,307 Wol.
$53,307 Wol.
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
81°F or below <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$53,307 Wol.
$53,307 Wol.
81°F or below
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 28, 2026, 11:02 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader sentiment for Denver's June 30 high temperature centers on the 90–93°F range (combined ~58.5% implied probability), consistent with late-June forecast guidance showing highs in the upper 80s to mid-90s amid a warm, stable high-pressure pattern.** National Weather Service and AccuWeather outlooks place the daily high near or slightly above seasonal normals (average late-June highs ~85–90°F), driven by southerly flow, downslope warming along the Front Range, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected. Recent days have featured actual highs of 94–97°F under similar conditions, supporting the market's tight clustering around 90–93°F as models converge on modest day-to-day variability from wind shifts or boundary-layer mixing. Lower-probability bins (e.g., 94–95°F at 11%) reflect residual uncertainty in peak heating if mixing is stronger or if any high clouds arrive, while sub-88°F outcomes remain discounted absent a stronger cool-air intrusion. The narrow spread between leading bins underscores genuine forecast uncertainty typical 24–48 hours out, where small changes in timing or local effects can shift the exact maximum by 2–4°F. Updated NWS model runs and evening briefings will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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