Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers over Guangzhou on June 24, limiting peak solar heating and keeping daily maximum temperatures clustered in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical East Asian monsoon humidity. Subtle differences in steering patterns and convective timing across ensemble runs create the tight spread among 34–37°C outcomes, with urban heat island effects and afternoon instability adding further variability. Historical June climatology shows averages near 32–33°C, so any clearing trend could push readings higher while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 24?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 24?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$91,136 Wol.
$91,136 Wol.
Jun 24, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$91,136 Wol.
$91,136 Wol.
Jun 24, 2026
30°C or below
$1,111 Wol.
No
31°C
$305 Wol.
No
32°C
$1,241 Wol.
No
33°C
$19,628 Wol.
No
34°C
$3,616 Wol.
No
35°C
$21,459 Wol.
No
36°C
$7,614 Wol.
No
37°C
$17,646 Wol.
Yes
38°C
$6,955 Wol.
No
39°C
$7,225 Wol.
No
40°C or higher
$4,335 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers over Guangzhou on June 24, limiting peak solar heating and keeping daily maximum temperatures clustered in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical East Asian monsoon humidity. Subtle differences in steering patterns and convective timing across ensemble runs create the tight spread among 34–37°C outcomes, with urban heat island effects and afternoon instability adding further variability. Historical June climatology shows averages near 32–33°C, so any clearing trend could push readings higher while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 22, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Wolumen
$91,136Data zakończenia
Jun 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 22, 2026, 12:17 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers over Guangzhou on June 24, limiting peak solar heating and keeping daily maximum temperatures clustered in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical East Asian monsoon humidity. Subtle differences in steering patterns and convective timing across ensemble runs create the tight spread among 34–37°C outcomes, with urban heat island effects and afternoon instability adding further variability. Historical June climatology shows averages near 32–33°C, so any clearing trend could push readings higher while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$91,136Data zakończenia
Jun 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 22, 2026, 12:17 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers over Guangzhou on June 24, limiting peak solar heating and keeping daily maximum temperatures clustered in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical East Asian monsoon humidity. Subtle differences in steering patterns and convective timing across ensemble runs create the tight spread among 34–37°C outcomes, with urban heat island effects and afternoon instability adding further variability. Historical June climatology shows averages near 32–33°C, so any clearing trend could push readings higher while persistent cloud cover or earlier rain would favor the lower end of the distribution. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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