Persistent high pressure across Southeast Texas is sustaining typical midsummer conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating afternoon highs near the July climatological average of 94–95°F at Houston’s official sites. High humidity and light steering flow favor isolated afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures, while abundant soil moisture and Saharan dust limit stronger heating. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, keeping 94–95°F the market favorite and 96–97°F a plausible but lower-probability outcome if mixing is stronger than expected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on July 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on July 4?
98-99°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$50,306 Wol.
$50,306 Wol.
Jul 4, 2026
83°F or below
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
Yes
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
98-99°F 100.0%
83°F or below <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$50,306 Wol.
$50,306 Wol.
Jul 4, 2026
83°F or below
$2,460 Wol.
No
84-85°F
$3,010 Wol.
No
86-87°F
$2,016 Wol.
No
88-89°F
$2,918 Wol.
No
90-91°F
$2,486 Wol.
No
92-93°F
$4,667 Wol.
No
94-95°F
$11,417 Wol.
No
96-97°F
$8,203 Wol.
No
98-99°F
$5,074 Wol.
Yes
100-101°F
$3,035 Wol.
No
102°F or higher
$5,018 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure across Southeast Texas is sustaining typical midsummer conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating afternoon highs near the July climatological average of 94–95°F at Houston’s official sites. High humidity and light steering flow favor isolated afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures, while abundant soil moisture and Saharan dust limit stronger heating. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, keeping 94–95°F the market favorite and 96–97°F a plausible but lower-probability outcome if mixing is stronger than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$50,306Data zakończenia
Jul 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure across Southeast Texas is sustaining typical midsummer conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating afternoon highs near the July climatological average of 94–95°F at Houston’s official sites. High humidity and light steering flow favor isolated afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures, while abundant soil moisture and Saharan dust limit stronger heating. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, keeping 94–95°F the market favorite and 96–97°F a plausible but lower-probability outcome if mixing is stronger than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$50,306Data zakończenia
Jul 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Persistent high pressure across Southeast Texas is sustaining typical midsummer conditions, with National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicating afternoon highs near the July climatological average of 94–95°F at Houston’s official sites. High humidity and light steering flow favor isolated afternoon convection that can cap peak temperatures, while abundant soil moisture and Saharan dust limit stronger heating. Recent model runs show little shift from this range, keeping 94–95°F the market favorite and 96–97°F a plausible but lower-probability outcome if mixing is stronger than expected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania