Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on April 24, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) METAR reports and NOAA-relayed data confirming a daytime maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) daily summaries align, recording peaks in the 15–20°C range amid seasonal norms for late April, where historical highs average 16–17°C amid emerging spring warmth. This positioning reflects resolved uncertainty from pre-event forecasts predicting mild conditions below 20°C, with no significant deviations. Realistic challenges would require post-measurement revisions from MGM or supplemental station data showing a higher peak, though such adjustments are rare once validated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 24?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 24?
18°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$108,324 Wol.
$108,324 Wol.
Apr 24, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$108,324 Wol.
$108,324 Wol.
Apr 24, 2026
9°C or below
$1,156 Wol.
No
10°C
$1,617 Wol.
No
11°C
$1,322 Wol.
No
12°C
$1,019 Wol.
No
13°C
$2,863 Wol.
No
14°C
$4,665 Wol.
No
15°C
$6,046 Wol.
No
16°C
$4,741 Wol.
No
17°C
$7,157 Wol.
No
18°C
$10,624 Wol.
Yes
19°C or higher
$67,114 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on April 24, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) METAR reports and NOAA-relayed data confirming a daytime maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) daily summaries align, recording peaks in the 15–20°C range amid seasonal norms for late April, where historical highs average 16–17°C amid emerging spring warmth. This positioning reflects resolved uncertainty from pre-event forecasts predicting mild conditions below 20°C, with no significant deviations. Realistic challenges would require post-measurement revisions from MGM or supplemental station data showing a higher peak, though such adjustments are rare once validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$108,324Data zakończenia
Apr 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on April 24, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) METAR reports and NOAA-relayed data confirming a daytime maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) daily summaries align, recording peaks in the 15–20°C range amid seasonal norms for late April, where historical highs average 16–17°C amid emerging spring warmth. This positioning reflects resolved uncertainty from pre-event forecasts predicting mild conditions below 20°C, with no significant deviations. Realistic challenges would require post-measurement revisions from MGM or supplemental station data showing a higher peak, though such adjustments are rare once validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$108,324Data zakończenia
Apr 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 22, 2026, 1:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Istanbul on April 24, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, backed by official observations from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) METAR reports and NOAA-relayed data confirming a daytime maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) daily summaries align, recording peaks in the 15–20°C range amid seasonal norms for late April, where historical highs average 16–17°C amid emerging spring warmth. This positioning reflects resolved uncertainty from pre-event forecasts predicting mild conditions below 20°C, with no significant deviations. Realistic challenges would require post-measurement revisions from MGM or supplemental station data showing a higher peak, though such adjustments are rare once validated.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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