Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü, indicate a primary driver of cooling from a passing low-pressure system and associated thunderstorms on August 28–29, followed by clearing skies and northerly flow on August 30 that stabilizes daytime highs near seasonal norms of 28–29°C. This setup favors peak temperatures of 26–27°C under partly to mostly sunny conditions, consistent with the market-implied probabilities clustering there at roughly 78% combined. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around these values, with minimal risk of stronger warming or further suppression absent unexpected frontal shifts, while historical late-August baselines and recent observational trends reinforce this range over extremes. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements that day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
26°C 47%
27°C 36%
25°C 11%
28°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
11%
26°C
47%
27°C
36%
28°C
8%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
27°C 36%
25°C 11%
28°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$40 Wol.
4%
23°C
$0 Wol.
3%
24°C
$45 Wol.
5%
25°C
$94 Wol.
11%
26°C
$54 Wol.
47%
27°C
$136 Wol.
36%
28°C
$0 Wol.
8%
29°C
$0 Wol.
3%
30°C
$0 Wol.
1%
31°C
$115 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$24 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü, indicate a primary driver of cooling from a passing low-pressure system and associated thunderstorms on August 28–29, followed by clearing skies and northerly flow on August 30 that stabilizes daytime highs near seasonal norms of 28–29°C. This setup favors peak temperatures of 26–27°C under partly to mostly sunny conditions, consistent with the market-implied probabilities clustering there at roughly 78% combined. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around these values, with minimal risk of stronger warming or further suppression absent unexpected frontal shifts, while historical late-August baselines and recent observational trends reinforce this range over extremes. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements that day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$508Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü, indicate a primary driver of cooling from a passing low-pressure system and associated thunderstorms on August 28–29, followed by clearing skies and northerly flow on August 30 that stabilizes daytime highs near seasonal norms of 28–29°C. This setup favors peak temperatures of 26–27°C under partly to mostly sunny conditions, consistent with the market-implied probabilities clustering there at roughly 78% combined. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around these values, with minimal risk of stronger warming or further suppression absent unexpected frontal shifts, while historical late-August baselines and recent observational trends reinforce this range over extremes. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements that day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$508Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü, indicate a primary driver of cooling from a passing low-pressure system and associated thunderstorms on August 28–29, followed by clearing skies and northerly flow on August 30 that stabilizes daytime highs near seasonal norms of 28–29°C. This setup favors peak temperatures of 26–27°C under partly to mostly sunny conditions, consistent with the market-implied probabilities clustering there at roughly 78% combined. Ensemble guidance shows limited model spread around these values, with minimal risk of stronger warming or further suppression absent unexpected frontal shifts, while historical late-August baselines and recent observational trends reinforce this range over extremes. Final resolution will hinge on official station measurements that day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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