Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate moderating conditions on August 30 driven by rain and increased cloud cover associated with peripheral airflow from typhoon activity, following a period of intense late-summer heat. Official outlooks from Chinese meteorological sources project daytime highs primarily in the 30–34°C range amid scattered to moderate precipitation and northerly winds, which typically limit peak readings compared to clear-sky scenarios. Ensemble model consensus highlights uncertainty around the exact timing and intensity of showers, which could shift the daily maximum by 1–3°C depending on whether heavier rain arrives before or after peak heating hours. This setup aligns with trader-implied odds clustering near 31–35°C while assigning minimal probability to lower thresholds, consistent with climatological norms for the region during late August transition periods. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
34°C 36%
32°C 27%
33°C 20%
31°C 19%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C
19%
32°C
27%
33°C
27%
34°C
36%
35°C or higher
1%
34°C 36%
32°C 27%
33°C 20%
31°C 19%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C
19%
32°C
27%
33°C
27%
34°C
36%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate moderating conditions on August 30 driven by rain and increased cloud cover associated with peripheral airflow from typhoon activity, following a period of intense late-summer heat. Official outlooks from Chinese meteorological sources project daytime highs primarily in the 30–34°C range amid scattered to moderate precipitation and northerly winds, which typically limit peak readings compared to clear-sky scenarios. Ensemble model consensus highlights uncertainty around the exact timing and intensity of showers, which could shift the daily maximum by 1–3°C depending on whether heavier rain arrives before or after peak heating hours. This setup aligns with trader-implied odds clustering near 31–35°C while assigning minimal probability to lower thresholds, consistent with climatological norms for the region during late August transition periods. Updated model runs and local observations in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the highest temperature.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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