Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show Wuhan transitioning from peak summer heat (37–38°C on Aug 27–28) to cooler conditions on Aug 29 driven by strengthening northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and moderate to heavy rain. This reduces surface heating and caps daytime maxima near 32–33°C according to consensus runs, with some ensemble spread allowing for 34–35°C if precipitation arrives later or is lighter. Traders appear to weight official high-resolution guidance most heavily, producing closely matched probabilities around 32–33°C while assigning lower odds to hotter outcomes that would require drier, clearer conditions persisting longer than current model consensus indicates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 29?
33°C 28%
32°C 25%
34°C 16%
31°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
13%
32°C
25%
33°C
28%
34°C
16%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C or higher
3%
33°C 28%
32°C 25%
34°C 16%
31°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
27°C or below
$90 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Wol.
4%
29°C
$0 Wol.
3%
30°C
$41 Wol.
7%
31°C
$0 Wol.
13%
32°C
$0 Wol.
25%
33°C
$2 Wol.
28%
34°C
$22 Wol.
16%
35°C
$20 Wol.
9%
36°C
$76 Wol.
5%
37°C or higher
$5 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show Wuhan transitioning from peak summer heat (37–38°C on Aug 27–28) to cooler conditions on Aug 29 driven by strengthening northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and moderate to heavy rain. This reduces surface heating and caps daytime maxima near 32–33°C according to consensus runs, with some ensemble spread allowing for 34–35°C if precipitation arrives later or is lighter. Traders appear to weight official high-resolution guidance most heavily, producing closely matched probabilities around 32–33°C while assigning lower odds to hotter outcomes that would require drier, clearer conditions persisting longer than current model consensus indicates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$261Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show Wuhan transitioning from peak summer heat (37–38°C on Aug 27–28) to cooler conditions on Aug 29 driven by strengthening northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and moderate to heavy rain. This reduces surface heating and caps daytime maxima near 32–33°C according to consensus runs, with some ensemble spread allowing for 34–35°C if precipitation arrives later or is lighter. Traders appear to weight official high-resolution guidance most heavily, producing closely matched probabilities around 32–33°C while assigning lower odds to hotter outcomes that would require drier, clearer conditions persisting longer than current model consensus indicates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$261Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and international models show Wuhan transitioning from peak summer heat (37–38°C on Aug 27–28) to cooler conditions on Aug 29 driven by strengthening northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and moderate to heavy rain. This reduces surface heating and caps daytime maxima near 32–33°C according to consensus runs, with some ensemble spread allowing for 34–35°C if precipitation arrives later or is lighter. Traders appear to weight official high-resolution guidance most heavily, producing closely matched probabilities around 32–33°C while assigning lower odds to hotter outcomes that would require drier, clearer conditions persisting longer than current model consensus indicates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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