Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high near 29–30°C for Madrid on August 29 under clear skies and light southerly flow, following a cooler-than-average August trend that has kept recent maxima 2–4°C below seasonal norms. This positions the outcome in a narrow band where small shifts in boundary-layer mixing, daytime insolation under high pressure, or subtle changes in low-level advection could push readings across the 25°C threshold or toward 35°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched odds for the extremes, captures residual model spread and the influence of Madrid’s urban heat island on peak readings, with resolution hinging on official AEMET station data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 29?
30°C 44%
31°C 41%
28°C 15%
33°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
15%
29°C
13%
30°C
44%
31°C
41%
32°C
10%
33°C
15%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 44%
31°C 41%
28°C 15%
33°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
26°C
$0 Wol.
4%
27°C
$0 Wol.
2%
28°C
$0 Wol.
15%
29°C
$49 Wol.
13%
30°C
$5 Wol.
44%
31°C
$14 Wol.
41%
32°C
$54 Wol.
10%
33°C
$0 Wol.
15%
34°C
$0 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high near 29–30°C for Madrid on August 29 under clear skies and light southerly flow, following a cooler-than-average August trend that has kept recent maxima 2–4°C below seasonal norms. This positions the outcome in a narrow band where small shifts in boundary-layer mixing, daytime insolation under high pressure, or subtle changes in low-level advection could push readings across the 25°C threshold or toward 35°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched odds for the extremes, captures residual model spread and the influence of Madrid’s urban heat island on peak readings, with resolution hinging on official AEMET station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$122Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high near 29–30°C for Madrid on August 29 under clear skies and light southerly flow, following a cooler-than-average August trend that has kept recent maxima 2–4°C below seasonal norms. This positions the outcome in a narrow band where small shifts in boundary-layer mixing, daytime insolation under high pressure, or subtle changes in low-level advection could push readings across the 25°C threshold or toward 35°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched odds for the extremes, captures residual model spread and the influence of Madrid’s urban heat island on peak readings, with resolution hinging on official AEMET station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$122Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a high near 29–30°C for Madrid on August 29 under clear skies and light southerly flow, following a cooler-than-average August trend that has kept recent maxima 2–4°C below seasonal norms. This positions the outcome in a narrow band where small shifts in boundary-layer mixing, daytime insolation under high pressure, or subtle changes in low-level advection could push readings across the 25°C threshold or toward 35°C. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely matched odds for the extremes, captures residual model spread and the influence of Madrid’s urban heat island on peak readings, with resolution hinging on official AEMET station data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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