Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 29°C on August 27, 2026, with hourly readings peaking at that level amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorm activity that suppressed further heating. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 29°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus grounded in real-time HKO data rather than earlier forecasts calling for 31°C. Widespread rain and high humidity (often above 90%) limited solar insolation and surface warming, consistent with historical patterns for disturbed summer days in the region. Market resolution hinges on the Observatory’s official maximum at its primary station; potential challenges include post-event data revisions or use of alternative measurement sites, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 27?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$234,043 Wol.
$234,043 Wol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$234,043 Wol.
$234,043 Wol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of 29°C on August 27, 2026, with hourly readings peaking at that level amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and thunderstorm activity that suppressed further heating. This aligns with the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 29°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus grounded in real-time HKO data rather than earlier forecasts calling for 31°C. Widespread rain and high humidity (often above 90%) limited solar insolation and surface warming, consistent with historical patterns for disturbed summer days in the region. Market resolution hinges on the Observatory’s official maximum at its primary station; potential challenges include post-event data revisions or use of alternative measurement sites, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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