Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a maximum of 33°C on August 29 under a broad low-pressure trough and weak west-southwest flow, with mainly cloudy skies, isolated morning thunderstorms, and sunny intervals that support afternoon heating. Current regional readings on August 28 already reached 32–33°C at multiple stations amid similar conditions. The near-even split between 32°C and 33°C market odds reflects uncertainty over exact peak timing, cloud persistence, and shower impacts, consistent with typical late-August variability around the 31°C climatological mean. Resolution hinges on the Observatory’s official thermometer reading, with limited further model updates expected before the close of trading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 29?
33°C 35%
32°C 35%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
$13,683 Wol.
$13,683 Wol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
18%
32°C
35%
33°C
35%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 35%
32°C 35%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
$13,683 Wol.
$13,683 Wol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
18%
32°C
35%
33°C
35%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a maximum of 33°C on August 29 under a broad low-pressure trough and weak west-southwest flow, with mainly cloudy skies, isolated morning thunderstorms, and sunny intervals that support afternoon heating. Current regional readings on August 28 already reached 32–33°C at multiple stations amid similar conditions. The near-even split between 32°C and 33°C market odds reflects uncertainty over exact peak timing, cloud persistence, and shower impacts, consistent with typical late-August variability around the 31°C climatological mean. Resolution hinges on the Observatory’s official thermometer reading, with limited further model updates expected before the close of trading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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