Forecast uncertainty for Hong Kong's maximum temperature on August 30 stems from variable subtropical ridge strength and potential monsoon influences two days ahead, with models showing modest spread in daytime heating. Late-August climatology places typical highs near 30–31°C under partly cloudy, humid conditions, but scattered showers or increased cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C while clearer skies allow brief excursions above that range. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to low-level wind direction and moisture advection from the South China Sea, factors that traders weigh when balancing the near-even odds between 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble consensus expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
30°C 31%
31°C 24%
29°C 19%
32°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
10%
29°C
19%
30°C
31%
31°C
24%
32°C
13%
33°C
4%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 24%
29°C 19%
32°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$125 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Wol.
10%
29°C
$0 Wol.
19%
30°C
$61 Wol.
31%
31°C
$0 Wol.
24%
32°C
$43 Wol.
13%
33°C
$25 Wol.
4%
34°C
$0 Wol.
5%
35°C
$13 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$121 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast uncertainty for Hong Kong's maximum temperature on August 30 stems from variable subtropical ridge strength and potential monsoon influences two days ahead, with models showing modest spread in daytime heating. Late-August climatology places typical highs near 30–31°C under partly cloudy, humid conditions, but scattered showers or increased cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C while clearer skies allow brief excursions above that range. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to low-level wind direction and moisture advection from the South China Sea, factors that traders weigh when balancing the near-even odds between 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble consensus expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$518Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast uncertainty for Hong Kong's maximum temperature on August 30 stems from variable subtropical ridge strength and potential monsoon influences two days ahead, with models showing modest spread in daytime heating. Late-August climatology places typical highs near 30–31°C under partly cloudy, humid conditions, but scattered showers or increased cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C while clearer skies allow brief excursions above that range. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to low-level wind direction and moisture advection from the South China Sea, factors that traders weigh when balancing the near-even odds between 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble consensus expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$518Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Hong Kong's maximum temperature on August 30 stems from variable subtropical ridge strength and potential monsoon influences two days ahead, with models showing modest spread in daytime heating. Late-August climatology places typical highs near 30–31°C under partly cloudy, humid conditions, but scattered showers or increased cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C while clearer skies allow brief excursions above that range. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to low-level wind direction and moisture advection from the South China Sea, factors that traders weigh when balancing the near-even odds between 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes. Updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble consensus expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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