Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC indicate Madrid's highest temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 24–25°C range, reflecting the typical late-August seasonal decline from mid-month peaks near 32°C. Trader consensus around these outcomes stems from consistent guidance on moderating high pressure, lighter winds, and possible early cloud cover limiting daytime heating, though slight model spread on exact steering patterns keeps probabilities distributed. Historical climatology shows late-month averages near 28–30°C, making the current cooler outlook a notable shift driven by evolving synoptic conditions. Updated runs from official sources in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
24°C 31%
25°C 26%
26°C 14%
23°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
31%
25°C
26%
26°C
14%
27°C
5%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
2%
24°C 31%
25°C 26%
26°C 14%
23°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$87 Wol.
4%
22°C
$0 Wol.
5%
23°C
$120 Wol.
10%
24°C
$167 Wol.
31%
25°C
$329 Wol.
26%
26°C
$209 Wol.
14%
27°C
$0 Wol.
5%
28°C
$0 Wol.
4%
29°C
$0 Wol.
4%
30°C
$0 Wol.
3%
31°C or higher
$24 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC indicate Madrid's highest temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 24–25°C range, reflecting the typical late-August seasonal decline from mid-month peaks near 32°C. Trader consensus around these outcomes stems from consistent guidance on moderating high pressure, lighter winds, and possible early cloud cover limiting daytime heating, though slight model spread on exact steering patterns keeps probabilities distributed. Historical climatology shows late-month averages near 28–30°C, making the current cooler outlook a notable shift driven by evolving synoptic conditions. Updated runs from official sources in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$937Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC indicate Madrid's highest temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 24–25°C range, reflecting the typical late-August seasonal decline from mid-month peaks near 32°C. Trader consensus around these outcomes stems from consistent guidance on moderating high pressure, lighter winds, and possible early cloud cover limiting daytime heating, though slight model spread on exact steering patterns keeps probabilities distributed. Historical climatology shows late-month averages near 28–30°C, making the current cooler outlook a notable shift driven by evolving synoptic conditions. Updated runs from official sources in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$937Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the UK Met Office and BBC indicate Madrid's highest temperature on August 27 will likely fall in the 24–25°C range, reflecting the typical late-August seasonal decline from mid-month peaks near 32°C. Trader consensus around these outcomes stems from consistent guidance on moderating high pressure, lighter winds, and possible early cloud cover limiting daytime heating, though slight model spread on exact steering patterns keeps probabilities distributed. Historical climatology shows late-month averages near 28–30°C, making the current cooler outlook a notable shift driven by evolving synoptic conditions. Updated runs from official sources in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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