Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 24 call for sunny skies and a high near 107°F amid a persistent heat dome and upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and clear conditions that maximize solar insolation. This aligns with the market's leading 106-107°F bin at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model runs showing limited moisture return and southerly flow advecting warm air. Recent observations of 106°F on August 17 and ongoing Excessive Heat Warnings through midweek underscore the pattern's strength, though slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Historical August extremes near 107°F provide context for the current elevated baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
106-107°F 46%
104-105°F 21%
108-109°F 20%
110-111°F 13%
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
21%
106-107°F
46%
108-109°F
20%
110-111°F
13%
112-113°F
5%
114-115°F
5%
116-117°F
3%
118°F or higher
2%
106-107°F 46%
104-105°F 21%
108-109°F 20%
110-111°F 13%
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
21%
106-107°F
46%
108-109°F
20%
110-111°F
13%
112-113°F
5%
114-115°F
5%
116-117°F
3%
118°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 24 call for sunny skies and a high near 107°F amid a persistent heat dome and upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and clear conditions that maximize solar insolation. This aligns with the market's leading 106-107°F bin at 45.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on model runs showing limited moisture return and southerly flow advecting warm air. Recent observations of 106°F on August 17 and ongoing Excessive Heat Warnings through midweek underscore the pattern's strength, though slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°F. Historical August extremes near 107°F provide context for the current elevated baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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