Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place London’s August 22 maximum near the seasonal average of 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Persistent westerly flow and lack of a strong blocking high are limiting daytime heating, while scattered showers and variable cloud cover further cap potential peaks. Historical August maxima in central London rarely exceed 24°C without pronounced anticyclonic setup, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 25°C and higher outcomes. Short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key updates on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could shift the most likely bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 22?
Highest temperature in London on August 22?
22°C 36%
21°C 27%
23°C 22%
20°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
27%
22°C
36%
23°C
22%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 36%
21°C 27%
23°C 22%
20°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
$102 Wol.
1%
19°C
$35 Wol.
2%
20°C
$52 Wol.
8%
21°C
$442 Wol.
27%
22°C
$540 Wol.
36%
23°C
$343 Wol.
22%
24°C
$199 Wol.
8%
25°C
$479 Wol.
2%
26°C
$768 Wol.
1%
27°C
$2,082 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,767 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place London’s August 22 maximum near the seasonal average of 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Persistent westerly flow and lack of a strong blocking high are limiting daytime heating, while scattered showers and variable cloud cover further cap potential peaks. Historical August maxima in central London rarely exceed 24°C without pronounced anticyclonic setup, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 25°C and higher outcomes. Short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key updates on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could shift the most likely bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,809Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place London’s August 22 maximum near the seasonal average of 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Persistent westerly flow and lack of a strong blocking high are limiting daytime heating, while scattered showers and variable cloud cover further cap potential peaks. Historical August maxima in central London rarely exceed 24°C without pronounced anticyclonic setup, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 25°C and higher outcomes. Short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key updates on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could shift the most likely bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,809Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts place London’s August 22 maximum near the seasonal average of 22°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–23°C. Persistent westerly flow and lack of a strong blocking high are limiting daytime heating, while scattered showers and variable cloud cover further cap potential peaks. Historical August maxima in central London rarely exceed 24°C without pronounced anticyclonic setup, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 25°C and higher outcomes. Short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the next key updates on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture that could shift the most likely bin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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