Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate the overnight low in London on August 22 will likely fall between 11–13°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies promoting radiative cooling, light northerly winds, and a cooler air mass following recent mild conditions. These outcomes align with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average minimums hover near 13–14°C but can dip lower under high-pressure influence without significant cloud cover or Atlantic fronts. Recent model runs showing minimal precipitation and stable pressure patterns have reinforced trader consensus around the 12°C outcome, while uncertainty in exact cloud timing keeps 11°C and 13°C viable. New guidance updates expected overnight will further refine resolution probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 22?
Lowest temperature in London on August 22?
12°C 55%
13°C 27%
11°C 16%
14°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
16%
12°C
55%
13°C
27%
14°C
6%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 55%
13°C 27%
11°C 16%
14°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
10°C
$16 Wol.
1%
11°C
$117 Wol.
16%
12°C
$1,202 Wol.
55%
13°C
$450 Wol.
27%
14°C
$53 Wol.
6%
15°C
$25 Wol.
1%
16°C
$32 Wol.
1%
17°C
$32 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$32 Wol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$271 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate the overnight low in London on August 22 will likely fall between 11–13°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies promoting radiative cooling, light northerly winds, and a cooler air mass following recent mild conditions. These outcomes align with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average minimums hover near 13–14°C but can dip lower under high-pressure influence without significant cloud cover or Atlantic fronts. Recent model runs showing minimal precipitation and stable pressure patterns have reinforced trader consensus around the 12°C outcome, while uncertainty in exact cloud timing keeps 11°C and 13°C viable. New guidance updates expected overnight will further refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,231Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate the overnight low in London on August 22 will likely fall between 11–13°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies promoting radiative cooling, light northerly winds, and a cooler air mass following recent mild conditions. These outcomes align with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average minimums hover near 13–14°C but can dip lower under high-pressure influence without significant cloud cover or Atlantic fronts. Recent model runs showing minimal precipitation and stable pressure patterns have reinforced trader consensus around the 12°C outcome, while uncertainty in exact cloud timing keeps 11°C and 13°C viable. New guidance updates expected overnight will further refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,231Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate the overnight low in London on August 22 will likely fall between 11–13°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies promoting radiative cooling, light northerly winds, and a cooler air mass following recent mild conditions. These outcomes align with typical late-August climatology for the region, where average minimums hover near 13–14°C but can dip lower under high-pressure influence without significant cloud cover or Atlantic fronts. Recent model runs showing minimal precipitation and stable pressure patterns have reinforced trader consensus around the 12°C outcome, while uncertainty in exact cloud timing keeps 11°C and 13°C viable. New guidance updates expected overnight will further refine resolution probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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