Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicates minimum temperatures in Shenzhen around 26–27°C for August 23 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and possible typhoon influences. These factors support the elevated market-implied probability for 22°C or below as traders weigh forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and precipitation timing, which can suppress lows below seasonal averages of 26°C. Shorter-range updates showing overcast skies and isolated storms have reinforced this positioning, while warmer scenarios near 27–28°C remain competitive due to persistent heat and humidity. Upcoming refined model runs and local observations will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 23?
27°C 23%
26°C 19%
24°C 19%
25°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
8%
23°C
17%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
23%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 23%
26°C 19%
24°C 19%
25°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$10 Wol.
8%
23°C
$27 Wol.
17%
24°C
$0 Wol.
19%
25°C
$0 Wol.
19%
26°C
$0 Wol.
19%
27°C
$0 Wol.
23%
28°C
$0 Wol.
19%
29°C
$0 Wol.
19%
30°C
$10 Wol.
19%
31°C
$32 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$27 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicates minimum temperatures in Shenzhen around 26–27°C for August 23 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and possible typhoon influences. These factors support the elevated market-implied probability for 22°C or below as traders weigh forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and precipitation timing, which can suppress lows below seasonal averages of 26°C. Shorter-range updates showing overcast skies and isolated storms have reinforced this positioning, while warmer scenarios near 27–28°C remain competitive due to persistent heat and humidity. Upcoming refined model runs and local observations will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$105Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicates minimum temperatures in Shenzhen around 26–27°C for August 23 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and possible typhoon influences. These factors support the elevated market-implied probability for 22°C or below as traders weigh forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and precipitation timing, which can suppress lows below seasonal averages of 26°C. Shorter-range updates showing overcast skies and isolated storms have reinforced this positioning, while warmer scenarios near 27–28°C remain competitive due to persistent heat and humidity. Upcoming refined model runs and local observations will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$105Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicates minimum temperatures in Shenzhen around 26–27°C for August 23 amid typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and possible typhoon influences. These factors support the elevated market-implied probability for 22°C or below as traders weigh forecast uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and precipitation timing, which can suppress lows below seasonal averages of 26°C. Shorter-range updates showing overcast skies and isolated storms have reinforced this positioning, while warmer scenarios near 27–28°C remain competitive due to persistent heat and humidity. Upcoming refined model runs and local observations will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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