Recent forecasts from agencies monitoring the Pearl River Delta indicate thundery showers and persistent cloud cover through August 25 will limit daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight, positioning minimum temperatures near the 25–26°C historical average for late August. Subtropical humidity and potential tropical moisture influx further stabilize overnight lows, reducing the likelihood of extremes while keeping trader-implied odds highest for readings at or below 23°C amid model uncertainty in precipitation timing. These conditions align with climatological baselines where August minima cluster around 26°C, though any shift in steering patterns or rainfall intensity could alter the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
23°C or below 87%
33°C or higher 48%
30°C 46%
32°C 46%
23°C or below
87%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
32%
28°C
24%
29°C
24%
30°C
46%
31°C
2%
32°C
46%
33°C or higher
48%
23°C or below 87%
33°C or higher 48%
30°C 46%
32°C 46%
23°C or below
87%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
32%
28°C
24%
29°C
24%
30°C
46%
31°C
2%
32°C
46%
33°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies monitoring the Pearl River Delta indicate thundery showers and persistent cloud cover through August 25 will limit daytime heating and radiative cooling overnight, positioning minimum temperatures near the 25–26°C historical average for late August. Subtropical humidity and potential tropical moisture influx further stabilize overnight lows, reducing the likelihood of extremes while keeping trader-implied odds highest for readings at or below 23°C amid model uncertainty in precipitation timing. These conditions align with climatological baselines where August minima cluster around 26°C, though any shift in steering patterns or rainfall intensity could alter the outcome before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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