Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain from a moist monsoon air mass are anchoring overnight lows in Shenzhen near 25–27°C for August 24, producing the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. High dew points near 25–26°C limit evaporative cooling, while thick stratiform clouds suppress nocturnal radiative heat loss; southerly flow off the warm South China Sea further moderates temperatures. Multiple model runs show only modest variation in timing and intensity of showers, leaving little room for extremes below 23°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any clearing window develops before dawn on the 24th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
23°C 83%
27°C 47%
26°C 46%
25°C 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
83%
24°C
12%
25°C
44%
26°C
46%
27°C
47%
28°C
21%
29°C
11%
30°C
23%
31°C or higher
5%
23°C 83%
27°C 47%
26°C 46%
25°C 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$672 Wol.
1%
22°C
$5 Wol.
1%
23°C
$5 Wol.
83%
24°C
$0 Wol.
12%
25°C
$0 Wol.
44%
26°C
$0 Wol.
46%
27°C
$0 Wol.
47%
28°C
$0 Wol.
21%
29°C
$0 Wol.
11%
30°C
$5 Wol.
23%
31°C or higher
$5 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain from a moist monsoon air mass are anchoring overnight lows in Shenzhen near 25–27°C for August 24, producing the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. High dew points near 25–26°C limit evaporative cooling, while thick stratiform clouds suppress nocturnal radiative heat loss; southerly flow off the warm South China Sea further moderates temperatures. Multiple model runs show only modest variation in timing and intensity of showers, leaving little room for extremes below 23°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any clearing window develops before dawn on the 24th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$692Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain from a moist monsoon air mass are anchoring overnight lows in Shenzhen near 25–27°C for August 24, producing the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. High dew points near 25–26°C limit evaporative cooling, while thick stratiform clouds suppress nocturnal radiative heat loss; southerly flow off the warm South China Sea further moderates temperatures. Multiple model runs show only modest variation in timing and intensity of showers, leaving little room for extremes below 23°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any clearing window develops before dawn on the 24th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$692Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain from a moist monsoon air mass are anchoring overnight lows in Shenzhen near 25–27°C for August 24, producing the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. High dew points near 25–26°C limit evaporative cooling, while thick stratiform clouds suppress nocturnal radiative heat loss; southerly flow off the warm South China Sea further moderates temperatures. Multiple model runs show only modest variation in timing and intensity of showers, leaving little room for extremes below 23°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any clearing window develops before dawn on the 24th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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