Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 25 indicate partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo with maximum temperatures centered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driving the tight clustering around 33–34°C outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects are expected to support daytime warming, while variable cloud cover and potential sea-breeze influences introduce uncertainty in peak solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, but small shifts in timing or moisture could alter afternoon maxima by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines near 31–32°C, with resolution hinging on official Tokyo observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 25?
34°C 35%
33°C 26%
32°C 17%
30°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
5%
32°C
17%
33°C
26%
34°C
35%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 35%
33°C 26%
32°C 17%
30°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
30°C
$5 Wol.
10%
31°C
$11 Wol.
5%
32°C
$0 Wol.
17%
33°C
$325 Wol.
26%
34°C
$31 Wol.
35%
35°C
$11 Wol.
12%
36°C
$0 Wol.
3%
37°C
$72 Wol.
3%
38°C
$32 Wol.
2%
39°C or higher
$12 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 25 indicate partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo with maximum temperatures centered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driving the tight clustering around 33–34°C outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects are expected to support daytime warming, while variable cloud cover and potential sea-breeze influences introduce uncertainty in peak solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, but small shifts in timing or moisture could alter afternoon maxima by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines near 31–32°C, with resolution hinging on official Tokyo observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$470Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 25 indicate partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo with maximum temperatures centered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driving the tight clustering around 33–34°C outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects are expected to support daytime warming, while variable cloud cover and potential sea-breeze influences introduce uncertainty in peak solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, but small shifts in timing or moisture could alter afternoon maxima by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines near 31–32°C, with resolution hinging on official Tokyo observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$470Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 25 indicate partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo with maximum temperatures centered in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driving the tight clustering around 33–34°C outcomes. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects are expected to support daytime warming, while variable cloud cover and potential sea-breeze influences introduce uncertainty in peak solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Model runs show limited disagreement on steering patterns, but small shifts in timing or moisture could alter afternoon maxima by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these factors against historical August baselines near 31–32°C, with resolution hinging on official Tokyo observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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