Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 67–70°F for San Francisco on August 24, driven by a compressed marine layer, persistent southwest onshore flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the city’s typical late-summer pattern, where the Pacific high and coastal stratus moderate temperatures well below inland values. Recent model runs show little change in steering patterns or ridging strength, keeping the marine influence dominant and reducing the chance of warmer interior air mixing in. Historical data place the August 24 average high at 69.6°F, so current guidance sits close to normal, explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 68–71°F outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
70-71°F 30%
68-69°F 19%
72-73°F 18%
66-67°F 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
63°F or below
4%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
2%
82°F or higher
3%
70-71°F 30%
68-69°F 19%
72-73°F 18%
66-67°F 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
63°F or below
$15 Wol.
4%
64-65°F
$16 Wol.
7%
66-67°F
$17 Wol.
15%
68-69°F
$35 Wol.
26%
70-71°F
$45 Wol.
30%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
18%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
9%
76-77°F
$208 Wol.
6%
78-79°F
$20 Wol.
3%
80-81°F
$10 Wol.
2%
82°F or higher
$40 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 67–70°F for San Francisco on August 24, driven by a compressed marine layer, persistent southwest onshore flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the city’s typical late-summer pattern, where the Pacific high and coastal stratus moderate temperatures well below inland values. Recent model runs show little change in steering patterns or ridging strength, keeping the marine influence dominant and reducing the chance of warmer interior air mixing in. Historical data place the August 24 average high at 69.6°F, so current guidance sits close to normal, explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 68–71°F outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$366Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 67–70°F for San Francisco on August 24, driven by a compressed marine layer, persistent southwest onshore flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the city’s typical late-summer pattern, where the Pacific high and coastal stratus moderate temperatures well below inland values. Recent model runs show little change in steering patterns or ridging strength, keeping the marine influence dominant and reducing the chance of warmer interior air mixing in. Historical data place the August 24 average high at 69.6°F, so current guidance sits close to normal, explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 68–71°F outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$366Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and major models points to a high near 67–70°F for San Francisco on August 24, driven by a compressed marine layer, persistent southwest onshore flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the city’s typical late-summer pattern, where the Pacific high and coastal stratus moderate temperatures well below inland values. Recent model runs show little change in steering patterns or ridging strength, keeping the marine influence dominant and reducing the chance of warmer interior air mixing in. Historical data place the August 24 average high at 69.6°F, so current guidance sits close to normal, explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around the 68–71°F outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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