Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity levels typical of Shanghai’s late-summer subtropical regime, keeping minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C. Persistent southerly flow and sea-surface temperatures above 28 °C limit stronger nocturnal drops, consistent with the just-resolved 27 °C low on August 20 and climatological August minima around 25–27 °C. With only two days until resolution, limited model spread and absence of approaching cold fronts or typhoons reinforce trader consensus around these central outcomes while leaving modest room for a 25 °C or 28 °C shift if cloud cover or wind changes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
27°C 48%
26°C 32%
24°C 11%
28°C 11%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
11%
25°C
9%
26°C
32%
27°C
48%
28°C
11%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
5%
27°C 48%
26°C 32%
24°C 11%
28°C 11%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
11%
25°C
9%
26°C
32%
27°C
48%
28°C
11%
29°C
11%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and high humidity levels typical of Shanghai’s late-summer subtropical regime, keeping minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C. Persistent southerly flow and sea-surface temperatures above 28 °C limit stronger nocturnal drops, consistent with the just-resolved 27 °C low on August 20 and climatological August minima around 25–27 °C. With only two days until resolution, limited model spread and absence of approaching cold fronts or typhoons reinforce trader consensus around these central outcomes while leaving modest room for a 25 °C or 28 °C shift if cloud cover or wind changes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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