Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a Monday night low near 56–58°F at San Francisco stations, aligning with the late-August climatological average and recent overnight readings in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment remains split between the 68°F-or-higher and 49°F-or-below outcomes because of uncertainty in marine-layer depth, onshore flow strength, and cloud cover, which control radiative cooling and whether the airport site experiences typical fog intrusion or clearer skies that could allow modest warming or stronger cooling. Wind speeds of 5–15 mph and the absence of significant synoptic changes keep the distribution tightly clustered around historical norms, with model consensus narrowing only modestly as the event window approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 24?
68°F or higher 90%
49°F or below 88%
58-59°F 37%
64-65°F 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
49°F or below
88%
50-51°F
31%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
16%
56-57°F
17%
58-59°F
29%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
17%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
90%
68°F or higher 90%
49°F or below 88%
58-59°F 37%
64-65°F 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
49°F or below
$5 Wol.
88%
50-51°F
$5 Wol.
31%
52-53°F
$0 Wol.
16%
54-55°F
$0 Wol.
16%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
17%
58-59°F
$5 Wol.
29%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
22%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
17%
64-65°F
$5 Wol.
32%
66-67°F
$5 Wol.
1%
68°F or higher
$5 Wol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a Monday night low near 56–58°F at San Francisco stations, aligning with the late-August climatological average and recent overnight readings in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment remains split between the 68°F-or-higher and 49°F-or-below outcomes because of uncertainty in marine-layer depth, onshore flow strength, and cloud cover, which control radiative cooling and whether the airport site experiences typical fog intrusion or clearer skies that could allow modest warming or stronger cooling. Wind speeds of 5–15 mph and the absence of significant synoptic changes keep the distribution tightly clustered around historical norms, with model consensus narrowing only modestly as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$30Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a Monday night low near 56–58°F at San Francisco stations, aligning with the late-August climatological average and recent overnight readings in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment remains split between the 68°F-or-higher and 49°F-or-below outcomes because of uncertainty in marine-layer depth, onshore flow strength, and cloud cover, which control radiative cooling and whether the airport site experiences typical fog intrusion or clearer skies that could allow modest warming or stronger cooling. Wind speeds of 5–15 mph and the absence of significant synoptic changes keep the distribution tightly clustered around historical norms, with model consensus narrowing only modestly as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$30Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a Monday night low near 56–58°F at San Francisco stations, aligning with the late-August climatological average and recent overnight readings in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment remains split between the 68°F-or-higher and 49°F-or-below outcomes because of uncertainty in marine-layer depth, onshore flow strength, and cloud cover, which control radiative cooling and whether the airport site experiences typical fog intrusion or clearer skies that could allow modest warming or stronger cooling. Wind speeds of 5–15 mph and the absence of significant synoptic changes keep the distribution tightly clustered around historical norms, with model consensus narrowing only modestly as the event window approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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