Current forecasts from Environment Canada and major models indicate overnight lows near 14°C for Toronto on August 24 under persistent cloud cover, westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline, with the 47% implied probability on 9°C or below and 44.5% on 12°C capturing residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any brief clear intervals that could allow greater heat loss. Westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with high humidity and dew points around 12–13°C, keeps the distribution tightly clustered around these thresholds rather than extremes. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or mid-teens.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
9°C or below 93%
10°C 51%
11°C 51%
12°C 47%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
93%
10°C
51%
11°C
51%
12°C
47%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C or higher
2%
9°C or below 93%
10°C 51%
11°C 51%
12°C 47%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Wol.
93%
10°C
$5 Wol.
51%
11°C
$5 Wol.
51%
12°C
$0 Wol.
47%
13°C
$0 Wol.
26%
14°C
$0 Wol.
27%
15°C
$0 Wol.
27%
16°C
$0 Wol.
25%
17°C
$0 Wol.
25%
18°C
$0 Wol.
25%
19°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and major models indicate overnight lows near 14°C for Toronto on August 24 under persistent cloud cover, westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline, with the 47% implied probability on 9°C or below and 44.5% on 12°C capturing residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any brief clear intervals that could allow greater heat loss. Westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with high humidity and dew points around 12–13°C, keeps the distribution tightly clustered around these thresholds rather than extremes. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or mid-teens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and major models indicate overnight lows near 14°C for Toronto on August 24 under persistent cloud cover, westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline, with the 47% implied probability on 9°C or below and 44.5% on 12°C capturing residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any brief clear intervals that could allow greater heat loss. Westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with high humidity and dew points around 12–13°C, keeps the distribution tightly clustered around these thresholds rather than extremes. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or mid-teens.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and major models indicate overnight lows near 14°C for Toronto on August 24 under persistent cloud cover, westerly winds of 15–20 km/h, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Trader sentiment reflects this baseline, with the 47% implied probability on 9°C or below and 44.5% on 12°C capturing residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any brief clear intervals that could allow greater heat loss. Westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air, combined with high humidity and dew points around 12–13°C, keeps the distribution tightly clustered around these thresholds rather than extremes. Updated model runs and surface observations tonight will clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower or mid-teens.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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