Current forecasts for Mexico City’s overnight low on August 24 center on 12–14 °C, shaped by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with the summer monsoon pattern. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and light winds reduce temperature drops below recent daily minima of 12–13 °C. Multiple model runs from regional meteorological services show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky episode that would drive readings to single digits. Market-implied odds favoring 9 °C or below (47 %) therefore embed notable uncertainty around exact measurement timing or localized urban heat-island effects, while the 19 °C+ outcome (24 %) remains inconsistent with climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term driver.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
9°C or below 94%
19°C or higher 48%
10°C 31%
17°C 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
94%
10°C
31%
11°C
16%
12°C
16%
13°C
19%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
16%
17°C
31%
18°C
31%
19°C or higher
48%
9°C or below 94%
19°C or higher 48%
10°C 31%
17°C 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Wol.
94%
10°C
$5 Wol.
31%
11°C
$0 Wol.
16%
12°C
$0 Wol.
16%
13°C
$0 Wol.
19%
14°C
$0 Wol.
19%
15°C
$0 Wol.
19%
16°C
$0 Wol.
16%
17°C
$5 Wol.
31%
18°C
$5 Wol.
31%
19°C or higher
$5 Wol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Mexico City’s overnight low on August 24 center on 12–14 °C, shaped by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with the summer monsoon pattern. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and light winds reduce temperature drops below recent daily minima of 12–13 °C. Multiple model runs from regional meteorological services show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky episode that would drive readings to single digits. Market-implied odds favoring 9 °C or below (47 %) therefore embed notable uncertainty around exact measurement timing or localized urban heat-island effects, while the 19 °C+ outcome (24 %) remains inconsistent with climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Mexico City’s overnight low on August 24 center on 12–14 °C, shaped by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with the summer monsoon pattern. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and light winds reduce temperature drops below recent daily minima of 12–13 °C. Multiple model runs from regional meteorological services show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky episode that would drive readings to single digits. Market-implied odds favoring 9 °C or below (47 %) therefore embed notable uncertainty around exact measurement timing or localized urban heat-island effects, while the 19 °C+ outcome (24 %) remains inconsistent with climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Mexico City’s overnight low on August 24 center on 12–14 °C, shaped by the city’s 2,240 m elevation, persistent cloud cover, and widespread rain associated with the summer monsoon pattern. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling while elevated humidity and light winds reduce temperature drops below recent daily minima of 12–13 °C. Multiple model runs from regional meteorological services show no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky episode that would drive readings to single digits. Market-implied odds favoring 9 °C or below (47 %) therefore embed notable uncertainty around exact measurement timing or localized urban heat-island effects, while the 19 °C+ outcome (24 %) remains inconsistent with climatological baselines and current steering patterns. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period will be the key near-term driver.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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