Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on an 82–85°F high for Los Angeles on August 24, with 82–83°F holding the lead at 37%. This positioning stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under a weak onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that caps extreme warmth in the Los Angeles Basin. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, urban heat-island effects, and any overnight low-cloud clearing that alters the diurnal temperature range. With probabilities closely clustered between 80–87°F, small forecast shifts in model runs expected overnight could readily move the distribution before official observations close the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
3%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
75°F or below
$41 Wol.
1%
76-77°F
$5 Wol.
2%
78-79°F
$55 Wol.
7%
80-81°F
$83 Wol.
19%
82-83°F
$831 Wol.
37%
84-85°F
$250 Wol.
28%
86-87°F
$59 Wol.
11%
88-89°F
$41 Wol.
3%
90-91°F
$36 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$5 Wol.
3%
94°F or higher
$5 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on an 82–85°F high for Los Angeles on August 24, with 82–83°F holding the lead at 37%. This positioning stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under a weak onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that caps extreme warmth in the Los Angeles Basin. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, urban heat-island effects, and any overnight low-cloud clearing that alters the diurnal temperature range. With probabilities closely clustered between 80–87°F, small forecast shifts in model runs expected overnight could readily move the distribution before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,411Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on an 82–85°F high for Los Angeles on August 24, with 82–83°F holding the lead at 37%. This positioning stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under a weak onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that caps extreme warmth in the Los Angeles Basin. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, urban heat-island effects, and any overnight low-cloud clearing that alters the diurnal temperature range. With probabilities closely clustered between 80–87°F, small forecast shifts in model runs expected overnight could readily move the distribution before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,411Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on an 82–85°F high for Los Angeles on August 24, with 82–83°F holding the lead at 37%. This positioning stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under a weak onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that caps extreme warmth in the Los Angeles Basin. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, urban heat-island effects, and any overnight low-cloud clearing that alters the diurnal temperature range. With probabilities closely clustered between 80–87°F, small forecast shifts in model runs expected overnight could readily move the distribution before official observations close the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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