Recent cooling after a late-August heatwave has positioned ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF around a 26–28°C maximum for Paris on August 25, driving the market’s tight clustering on 27°C (33%) and 28°C (26%). Variable cloud cover, potential showers, and the exact timing of any frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing create 1–2°C spreads across model runs, with historical August variability providing limited additional constraint this far into the season. Official guidance notes partly cloudy skies with a chance of light precipitation that could cap daytime heating, while drier scenarios allow brief warming to near 29°C. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and surface observations most heavily ahead of final model updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?
27°C 33%
28°C 26%
26°C 15%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
8%
26°C
15%
27°C
33%
28°C
26%
29°C
12%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
4%
27°C 33%
28°C 26%
26°C 15%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
23°C
$0 Wol.
2%
24°C
$0 Wol.
7%
25°C
$0 Wol.
8%
26°C
$43 Wol.
15%
27°C
$20 Wol.
33%
28°C
$7 Wol.
26%
29°C
$0 Wol.
12%
30°C
$0 Wol.
7%
31°C
$0 Wol.
7%
32°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a late-August heatwave has positioned ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF around a 26–28°C maximum for Paris on August 25, driving the market’s tight clustering on 27°C (33%) and 28°C (26%). Variable cloud cover, potential showers, and the exact timing of any frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing create 1–2°C spreads across model runs, with historical August variability providing limited additional constraint this far into the season. Official guidance notes partly cloudy skies with a chance of light precipitation that could cap daytime heating, while drier scenarios allow brief warming to near 29°C. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and surface observations most heavily ahead of final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$70Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a late-August heatwave has positioned ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF around a 26–28°C maximum for Paris on August 25, driving the market’s tight clustering on 27°C (33%) and 28°C (26%). Variable cloud cover, potential showers, and the exact timing of any frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing create 1–2°C spreads across model runs, with historical August variability providing limited additional constraint this far into the season. Official guidance notes partly cloudy skies with a chance of light precipitation that could cap daytime heating, while drier scenarios allow brief warming to near 29°C. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and surface observations most heavily ahead of final model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$70Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling after a late-August heatwave has positioned ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF around a 26–28°C maximum for Paris on August 25, driving the market’s tight clustering on 27°C (33%) and 28°C (26%). Variable cloud cover, potential showers, and the exact timing of any frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing create 1–2°C spreads across model runs, with historical August variability providing limited additional constraint this far into the season. Official guidance notes partly cloudy skies with a chance of light precipitation that could cap daytime heating, while drier scenarios allow brief warming to near 29°C. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and surface observations most heavily ahead of final model updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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