Recent Met Office guidance for London on 25 August highlights sunny intervals with a maximum of 25 °C under a building ridge of high pressure, though ensemble model spreads and subtle Atlantic trough influences keep the precise peak uncertain. This places the highest temperature near the boundary between 22–24 °C, where market-implied odds cluster most tightly. Key differentiating factors include daytime insolation rates, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day cloud or light shower development that could suppress the afternoon maximum by 1–2 °C. With resolution hinging on official observations within a narrow 48-hour window, traders are weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction runs against climatological August maxima around 22 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 25?
Highest temperature in London on August 25?
22°C 38%
23°C 28%
21°C 21%
24°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
21%
22°C
38%
23°C
28%
24°C
16%
25°C
8%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 38%
23°C 28%
21°C 21%
24°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
17°C or below
$12 Wol.
1%
18°C
$6 Wol.
1%
19°C
$5 Wol.
3%
20°C
$117 Wol.
8%
21°C
$159 Wol.
21%
22°C
$31 Wol.
38%
23°C
$0 Wol.
28%
24°C
$270 Wol.
16%
25°C
$21 Wol.
8%
26°C
$4 Wol.
4%
27°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on 25 August highlights sunny intervals with a maximum of 25 °C under a building ridge of high pressure, though ensemble model spreads and subtle Atlantic trough influences keep the precise peak uncertain. This places the highest temperature near the boundary between 22–24 °C, where market-implied odds cluster most tightly. Key differentiating factors include daytime insolation rates, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day cloud or light shower development that could suppress the afternoon maximum by 1–2 °C. With resolution hinging on official observations within a narrow 48-hour window, traders are weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction runs against climatological August maxima around 22 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$625Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance for London on 25 August highlights sunny intervals with a maximum of 25 °C under a building ridge of high pressure, though ensemble model spreads and subtle Atlantic trough influences keep the precise peak uncertain. This places the highest temperature near the boundary between 22–24 °C, where market-implied odds cluster most tightly. Key differentiating factors include daytime insolation rates, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day cloud or light shower development that could suppress the afternoon maximum by 1–2 °C. With resolution hinging on official observations within a narrow 48-hour window, traders are weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction runs against climatological August maxima around 22 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$625Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance for London on 25 August highlights sunny intervals with a maximum of 25 °C under a building ridge of high pressure, though ensemble model spreads and subtle Atlantic trough influences keep the precise peak uncertain. This places the highest temperature near the boundary between 22–24 °C, where market-implied odds cluster most tightly. Key differentiating factors include daytime insolation rates, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any late-day cloud or light shower development that could suppress the afternoon maximum by 1–2 °C. With resolution hinging on official observations within a narrow 48-hour window, traders are weighting the consensus of short-range numerical weather prediction runs against climatological August maxima around 22 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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