**Forecast models and official Chinese meteorological guidance indicate a highest temperature in Qingdao on August 29 most likely between 28–31°C, with 29–30°C as the central range.** Recent updates from sources including the National Meteorological Center and local stations highlight expected cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and a wind shift to northerly directions that moderate peak heating. These conditions, combined with typical late-August coastal humidity and reduced solar insolation from precipitation, favor suppression of extremes above 32°C while keeping values above 27°C probable. The market’s concentration on 29°C (36.5%) and adjacent outcomes reflects this consensus across ensemble runs, with traders weighting the latest model guidance showing modest cooling relative to prior clear-sky days. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations, sensitive to any last-minute changes in convective activity or timing of cloud breaks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
29°C 37%
30°C 23%
28°C 21%
31°C 11%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
21%
29°C
37%
30°C
23%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 23%
28°C 21%
31°C 11%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
21%
29°C
37%
30°C
23%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official Chinese meteorological guidance indicate a highest temperature in Qingdao on August 29 most likely between 28–31°C, with 29–30°C as the central range.** Recent updates from sources including the National Meteorological Center and local stations highlight expected cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms, and a wind shift to northerly directions that moderate peak heating. These conditions, combined with typical late-August coastal humidity and reduced solar insolation from precipitation, favor suppression of extremes above 32°C while keeping values above 27°C probable. The market’s concentration on 29°C (36.5%) and adjacent outcomes reflects this consensus across ensemble runs, with traders weighting the latest model guidance showing modest cooling relative to prior clear-sky days. Resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum recorded by local stations, sensitive to any last-minute changes in convective activity or timing of cloud breaks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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