**Northerly winds shifting Qingdao into cooler, drier continental air have positioned the overnight low near 21–22 °C as the market consensus.** Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models (including Yr.no and Met Office) show daytime highs around 28–30 °C giving way to minimums of 22–25 °C under increasing northerly flow, replacing the lingering subtropical high that kept recent nights warmer. This pattern, noted in late-August advisories, promotes clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling overnight while the adjacent Yellow Sea continues to moderate extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 22 °C (50 %) and 21 °C (32 %), consistent with the observed cooling trend and typical late-summer maritime climatology for the region; probabilities for 20 °C or below remain low (2 %) absent stronger cold advection or clearer conditions than currently modeled. Hourly observations and updated CMA guidance through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
20°C or below 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
32%
22°C
49%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 2%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
20°C or below
$68 Wol.
2%
21°C
$97 Wol.
32%
22°C
$83 Wol.
49%
23°C
$121 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$200 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$35 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$25 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$215 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$35 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$53 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northerly winds shifting Qingdao into cooler, drier continental air have positioned the overnight low near 21–22 °C as the market consensus.**
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models (including Yr.no and Met Office) show daytime highs around 28–30 °C giving way to minimums of 22–25 °C under increasing northerly flow, replacing the lingering subtropical high that kept recent nights warmer. This pattern, noted in late-August advisories, promotes clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling overnight while the adjacent Yellow Sea continues to moderate extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 22 °C (50 %) and 21 °C (32 %), consistent with the observed cooling trend and typical late-summer maritime climatology for the region; probabilities for 20 °C or below remain low (2 %) absent stronger cold advection or clearer conditions than currently modeled. Hourly observations and updated CMA guidance through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$968Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northerly winds shifting Qingdao into cooler, drier continental air have positioned the overnight low near 21–22 °C as the market consensus.**
Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models (including Yr.no and Met Office) show daytime highs around 28–30 °C giving way to minimums of 22–25 °C under increasing northerly flow, replacing the lingering subtropical high that kept recent nights warmer. This pattern, noted in late-August advisories, promotes clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling overnight while the adjacent Yellow Sea continues to moderate extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 22 °C (50 %) and 21 °C (32 %), consistent with the observed cooling trend and typical late-summer maritime climatology for the region; probabilities for 20 °C or below remain low (2 %) absent stronger cold advection or clearer conditions than currently modeled. Hourly observations and updated CMA guidance through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$968Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Northerly winds shifting Qingdao into cooler, drier continental air have positioned the overnight low near 21–22 °C as the market consensus.** Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models (including Yr.no and Met Office) show daytime highs around 28–30 °C giving way to minimums of 22–25 °C under increasing northerly flow, replacing the lingering subtropical high that kept recent nights warmer. This pattern, noted in late-August advisories, promotes clearer skies and enhanced radiative cooling overnight while the adjacent Yellow Sea continues to moderate extremes. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 22 °C (50 %) and 21 °C (32 %), consistent with the observed cooling trend and typical late-summer maritime climatology for the region; probabilities for 20 °C or below remain low (2 %) absent stronger cold advection or clearer conditions than currently modeled. Hourly observations and updated CMA guidance through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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