Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are keeping overnight lows in Austin near 76–78°F through August 31, according to National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, well above the 71.5°F climatological average. This setup favors the narrow 74–85°F bins that dominate trader volume, while the near-even split between sub-67°F and 86°F+ outcomes reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and possible late-day cloud or moisture intrusions that could nudge the minimum by several degrees. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh evening soundings and updated short-range runs will be the key catalysts shifting the tightly contested probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Austin on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 31?
67°F or below 59%
86°F or higher 59%
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
67°F or below
59%
68-69°F
47%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
49%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
43%
84-85°F
43%
86°F or higher
59%
67°F or below 59%
86°F or higher 59%
70-71°F 49%
72-73°F 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
67°F or below
$0 Wol.
59%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
47%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
49%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
49%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
25%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
49%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
49%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
43%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
43%
86°F or higher
$0 Wol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are keeping overnight lows in Austin near 76–78°F through August 31, according to National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, well above the 71.5°F climatological average. This setup favors the narrow 74–85°F bins that dominate trader volume, while the near-even split between sub-67°F and 86°F+ outcomes reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and possible late-day cloud or moisture intrusions that could nudge the minimum by several degrees. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh evening soundings and updated short-range runs will be the key catalysts shifting the tightly contested probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are keeping overnight lows in Austin near 76–78°F through August 31, according to National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, well above the 71.5°F climatological average. This setup favors the narrow 74–85°F bins that dominate trader volume, while the near-even split between sub-67°F and 86°F+ outcomes reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and possible late-day cloud or moisture intrusions that could nudge the minimum by several degrees. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh evening soundings and updated short-range runs will be the key catalysts shifting the tightly contested probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are keeping overnight lows in Austin near 76–78°F through August 31, according to National Weather Service and ensemble guidance, well above the 71.5°F climatological average. This setup favors the narrow 74–85°F bins that dominate trader volume, while the near-even split between sub-67°F and 86°F+ outcomes reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and possible late-day cloud or moisture intrusions that could nudge the minimum by several degrees. With resolution only 48 hours away, fresh evening soundings and updated short-range runs will be the key catalysts shifting the tightly contested probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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