Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible on August 31, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows in the mid-50s to low-60s°F. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 55°F-or-below outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed closely by 60-61°F bins. Key variables include the timing and coverage of cloud decks and any precipitation, which can raise minimum temperatures by several degrees compared to clear-sky conditions. Historical August 31 averages near 55°F provide context, but current atmospheric moisture and weak frontal influences introduce divergence among model runs, explaining the clustered probabilities across the 55-65°F range. Updated National Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24-48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Denver on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Denver on August 31?
55°F or below 89%
74°F or higher 57%
68-69°F 43%
70-71°F 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
55°F or below
89%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
34%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
32%
64-65°F
29%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
43%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
43%
74°F or higher
57%
55°F or below 89%
74°F or higher 57%
68-69°F 43%
70-71°F 43%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
55°F or below
$0 Wol.
89%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
22%
58-59°F
$0 Wol.
34%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
26%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
32%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
29%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
26%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
43%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
43%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
43%
74°F or higher
$0 Wol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible on August 31, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows in the mid-50s to low-60s°F. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 55°F-or-below outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed closely by 60-61°F bins. Key variables include the timing and coverage of cloud decks and any precipitation, which can raise minimum temperatures by several degrees compared to clear-sky conditions. Historical August 31 averages near 55°F provide context, but current atmospheric moisture and weak frontal influences introduce divergence among model runs, explaining the clustered probabilities across the 55-65°F range. Updated National Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24-48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible on August 31, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows in the mid-50s to low-60s°F. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 55°F-or-below outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed closely by 60-61°F bins. Key variables include the timing and coverage of cloud decks and any precipitation, which can raise minimum temperatures by several degrees compared to clear-sky conditions. Historical August 31 averages near 55°F provide context, but current atmospheric moisture and weak frontal influences introduce divergence among model runs, explaining the clustered probabilities across the 55-65°F range. Updated National Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24-48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible on August 31, limiting nighttime radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows in the mid-50s to low-60s°F. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 55°F-or-below outcome at 40.5% implied probability, followed closely by 60-61°F bins. Key variables include the timing and coverage of cloud decks and any precipitation, which can raise minimum temperatures by several degrees compared to clear-sky conditions. Historical August 31 averages near 55°F provide context, but current atmospheric moisture and weak frontal influences introduce divergence among model runs, explaining the clustered probabilities across the 55-65°F range. Updated National Weather Service guidance expected in the next 24-48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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