Recent Met Office and European model runs show the primary driver as an Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK, delivering persistent cloud cover, rain showers, and a moderate southwesterly flow that favors maritime air masses over London. These conditions are expected to cap daytime heating, with forecast highs clustering tightly around 20–22 °C on August 29. Ensemble spread remains modest because steering patterns and timing of the frontal passage are relatively consistent across runs, though small differences in cloud thickness or shower intensity could shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical late-August climatology (mean high near 21 °C) reinforces why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these three outcomes. Updated model guidance later today will be the next key data release likely to move positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 29?
Highest temperature in London on August 29?
21°C 32%
22°C 25%
20°C 19%
23°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
19%
21°C
32%
22°C
25%
23°C
12%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 32%
22°C 25%
20°C 19%
23°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$20 Wol.
1%
18°C
$103 Wol.
1%
19°C
$83 Wol.
6%
20°C
$257 Wol.
19%
21°C
$289 Wol.
32%
22°C
$114 Wol.
25%
23°C
$93 Wol.
12%
24°C
$95 Wol.
4%
25°C
$193 Wol.
1%
26°C or higher
$11 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model runs show the primary driver as an Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK, delivering persistent cloud cover, rain showers, and a moderate southwesterly flow that favors maritime air masses over London. These conditions are expected to cap daytime heating, with forecast highs clustering tightly around 20–22 °C on August 29. Ensemble spread remains modest because steering patterns and timing of the frontal passage are relatively consistent across runs, though small differences in cloud thickness or shower intensity could shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical late-August climatology (mean high near 21 °C) reinforces why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these three outcomes. Updated model guidance later today will be the next key data release likely to move positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,228Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model runs show the primary driver as an Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK, delivering persistent cloud cover, rain showers, and a moderate southwesterly flow that favors maritime air masses over London. These conditions are expected to cap daytime heating, with forecast highs clustering tightly around 20–22 °C on August 29. Ensemble spread remains modest because steering patterns and timing of the frontal passage are relatively consistent across runs, though small differences in cloud thickness or shower intensity could shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical late-August climatology (mean high near 21 °C) reinforces why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these three outcomes. Updated model guidance later today will be the next key data release likely to move positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,228Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and European model runs show the primary driver as an Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK, delivering persistent cloud cover, rain showers, and a moderate southwesterly flow that favors maritime air masses over London. These conditions are expected to cap daytime heating, with forecast highs clustering tightly around 20–22 °C on August 29. Ensemble spread remains modest because steering patterns and timing of the frontal passage are relatively consistent across runs, though small differences in cloud thickness or shower intensity could shift the peak by 1 °C. Historical late-August climatology (mean high near 21 °C) reinforces why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these three outcomes. Updated model guidance later today will be the next key data release likely to move positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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