Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum temperature in Moscow on August 29 most likely between 19°C and 21°C, driven by variable cloudiness, light southeasterly winds, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation. This consensus aligns with the market's strong implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing daytime peaks near the seasonal average for late August. Minor uncertainties in exact timing of any cloud cover or localized warming could shift the high by 1°C, though current data releases point to limited upside potential beyond 22°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 29?
20°C 53%
21°C 31%
19°C 12%
22°C 5%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
12%
20°C
53%
21°C
31%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 53%
21°C 31%
19°C 12%
22°C 5%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
12%
20°C
53%
21°C
31%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and international models indicate a maximum temperature in Moscow on August 29 most likely between 19°C and 21°C, driven by variable cloudiness, light southeasterly winds, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation. This consensus aligns with the market's strong implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest model runs showing daytime peaks near the seasonal average for late August. Minor uncertainties in exact timing of any cloud cover or localized warming could shift the high by 1°C, though current data releases point to limited upside potential beyond 22°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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