Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's August 27 maximum temperature centered between 32–33 °C, producing the tight market split between those two outcomes. Late-summer solar insolation remains high at this latitude, yet a gradual seasonal decline in daily highs combines with variable boundary-layer moisture and light northerly flow to create a narrow uncertainty band around peak afternoon values. Clear-sky assumptions favor the upper end of the range, while any increase in high cloud or slightly stronger winds could cap readings at 32 °C. Updated model guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
33°C 42%
32°C 37%
34°C 13%
31°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
37%
33°C
42%
34°C
13%
35°C
6%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 37%
34°C 13%
31°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Wol.
3%
30°C
$62 Wol.
1%
31°C
$23 Wol.
7%
32°C
$115 Wol.
37%
33°C
$55 Wol.
42%
34°C
$36 Wol.
13%
35°C
$0 Wol.
6%
36°C
$76 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$197 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$381 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's August 27 maximum temperature centered between 32–33 °C, producing the tight market split between those two outcomes. Late-summer solar insolation remains high at this latitude, yet a gradual seasonal decline in daily highs combines with variable boundary-layer moisture and light northerly flow to create a narrow uncertainty band around peak afternoon values. Clear-sky assumptions favor the upper end of the range, while any increase in high cloud or slightly stronger winds could cap readings at 32 °C. Updated model guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$945Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's August 27 maximum temperature centered between 32–33 °C, producing the tight market split between those two outcomes. Late-summer solar insolation remains high at this latitude, yet a gradual seasonal decline in daily highs combines with variable boundary-layer moisture and light northerly flow to create a narrow uncertainty band around peak afternoon values. Clear-sky assumptions favor the upper end of the range, while any increase in high cloud or slightly stronger winds could cap readings at 32 °C. Updated model guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$945Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service show Ankara's August 27 maximum temperature centered between 32–33 °C, producing the tight market split between those two outcomes. Late-summer solar insolation remains high at this latitude, yet a gradual seasonal decline in daily highs combines with variable boundary-layer moisture and light northerly flow to create a narrow uncertainty band around peak afternoon values. Clear-sky assumptions favor the upper end of the range, while any increase in high cloud or slightly stronger winds could cap readings at 32 °C. Updated model guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the implied probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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