**Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus position 25–26°C as the most likely peak temperatures for London on August 27, 2026.** Official forecasts project a daytime maximum of 26°C, with hourly profiles showing afternoon readings reaching 25–26°C after morning showers and thunderstorms clear under southerly flow. This aligns with the current warm, humid airmass ahead of an approaching front. Climatologically, late-August London highs average near 22–23°C; the elevated values reflect a temporary southerly or southeasterly regime that has sustained above-average temperatures, tempered by increasing cloud cover, scattered precipitation (20–90% chances in morning hours), and modest winds of 3–11 m/s. Ensemble spreads from sources such as GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 24–26°C, with limited upside to 27°C+ or downside below 24°C given the expected afternoon clearing. Trader-implied probabilities (25°C at 42%, 26°C at 24.5%, 24°C at 21.5%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, weighted toward the lower end of the official guidance amid overnight convective activity and potential for slightly greater cloud persistence. Key near-term catalysts include the final overnight and morning model runs plus updated Met Office briefings, which could shift resolution if steering patterns or convective timing change.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 27?
Highest temperature in London on August 27?
25°C 42%
24°C 24%
26°C 22%
27°C 8%
NOWE
$23,961 Wol.
NOWE
$23,961 Wol.
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
24%
25°C
42%
26°C
22%
27°C
8%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 42%
24°C 24%
26°C 22%
27°C 8%
NOWE
$23,961 Wol.
NOWE
$23,961 Wol.
Aug 27, 2026
18°C or below
$550 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$643 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$565 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$530 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$1,618 Wol.
2%
23°C
$2,058 Wol.
6%
24°C
$4,791 Wol.
24%
25°C
$5,146 Wol.
42%
26°C
$4,766 Wol.
22%
27°C
$2,878 Wol.
8%
28°C or higher
$416 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus position 25–26°C as the most likely peak temperatures for London on August 27, 2026.** Official forecasts project a daytime maximum of 26°C, with hourly profiles showing afternoon readings reaching 25–26°C after morning showers and thunderstorms clear under southerly flow. This aligns with the current warm, humid airmass ahead of an approaching front.
Climatologically, late-August London highs average near 22–23°C; the elevated values reflect a temporary southerly or southeasterly regime that has sustained above-average temperatures, tempered by increasing cloud cover, scattered precipitation (20–90% chances in morning hours), and modest winds of 3–11 m/s. Ensemble spreads from sources such as GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 24–26°C, with limited upside to 27°C+ or downside below 24°C given the expected afternoon clearing.
Trader-implied probabilities (25°C at 42%, 26°C at 24.5%, 24°C at 21.5%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, weighted toward the lower end of the official guidance amid overnight convective activity and potential for slightly greater cloud persistence. Key near-term catalysts include the final overnight and morning model runs plus updated Met Office briefings, which could shift resolution if steering patterns or convective timing change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,961Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus position 25–26°C as the most likely peak temperatures for London on August 27, 2026.** Official forecasts project a daytime maximum of 26°C, with hourly profiles showing afternoon readings reaching 25–26°C after morning showers and thunderstorms clear under southerly flow. This aligns with the current warm, humid airmass ahead of an approaching front.
Climatologically, late-August London highs average near 22–23°C; the elevated values reflect a temporary southerly or southeasterly regime that has sustained above-average temperatures, tempered by increasing cloud cover, scattered precipitation (20–90% chances in morning hours), and modest winds of 3–11 m/s. Ensemble spreads from sources such as GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 24–26°C, with limited upside to 27°C+ or downside below 24°C given the expected afternoon clearing.
Trader-implied probabilities (25°C at 42%, 26°C at 24.5%, 24°C at 21.5%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, weighted toward the lower end of the official guidance amid overnight convective activity and potential for slightly greater cloud persistence. Key near-term catalysts include the final overnight and morning model runs plus updated Met Office briefings, which could shift resolution if steering patterns or convective timing change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$23,961Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus position 25–26°C as the most likely peak temperatures for London on August 27, 2026.** Official forecasts project a daytime maximum of 26°C, with hourly profiles showing afternoon readings reaching 25–26°C after morning showers and thunderstorms clear under southerly flow. This aligns with the current warm, humid airmass ahead of an approaching front. Climatologically, late-August London highs average near 22–23°C; the elevated values reflect a temporary southerly or southeasterly regime that has sustained above-average temperatures, tempered by increasing cloud cover, scattered precipitation (20–90% chances in morning hours), and modest winds of 3–11 m/s. Ensemble spreads from sources such as GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 24–26°C, with limited upside to 27°C+ or downside below 24°C given the expected afternoon clearing. Trader-implied probabilities (25°C at 42%, 26°C at 24.5%, 24°C at 21.5%) reflect this narrow uncertainty band, weighted toward the lower end of the official guidance amid overnight convective activity and potential for slightly greater cloud persistence. Key near-term catalysts include the final overnight and morning model runs plus updated Met Office briefings, which could shift resolution if steering patterns or convective timing change.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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