Trader consensus in the NYC highest temperature market strongly favors the 82-83°F bin at 51.5% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting sunny skies, light northwest winds shifting west, and daytime highs in the low to mid-80s for August 26. Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection support this outcome, with precipitation chances near zero and dew points in the mid-50s to low-60s limiting afternoon buildup. Recent model runs show tight agreement across Central Park, LaGuardia, and Kennedy Airport sites, consistent with late-August climatology where averages hover near 82°F. Any last-minute adjustments from morning observations or updated guidance could influence the final Central Park reading used for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on August 26?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 26?
82-83°F 51%
80-81°F 35%
84-85°F 11%
78-79°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
51%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
4%
90°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 51%
80-81°F 35%
84-85°F 11%
78-79°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
2%
74-75°F
$5 Wol.
2%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
4%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
7%
80-81°F
$148 Wol.
35%
82-83°F
$270 Wol.
51%
84-85°F
$41 Wol.
11%
86-87°F
$5 Wol.
5%
88-89°F
$5 Wol.
4%
90°F or higher
$10 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the NYC highest temperature market strongly favors the 82-83°F bin at 51.5% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting sunny skies, light northwest winds shifting west, and daytime highs in the low to mid-80s for August 26. Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection support this outcome, with precipitation chances near zero and dew points in the mid-50s to low-60s limiting afternoon buildup. Recent model runs show tight agreement across Central Park, LaGuardia, and Kennedy Airport sites, consistent with late-August climatology where averages hover near 82°F. Any last-minute adjustments from morning observations or updated guidance could influence the final Central Park reading used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$483Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the NYC highest temperature market strongly favors the 82-83°F bin at 51.5% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting sunny skies, light northwest winds shifting west, and daytime highs in the low to mid-80s for August 26. Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection support this outcome, with precipitation chances near zero and dew points in the mid-50s to low-60s limiting afternoon buildup. Recent model runs show tight agreement across Central Park, LaGuardia, and Kennedy Airport sites, consistent with late-August climatology where averages hover near 82°F. Any last-minute adjustments from morning observations or updated guidance could influence the final Central Park reading used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$483Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the NYC highest temperature market strongly favors the 82-83°F bin at 51.5% implied probability, driven by National Weather Service forecasts projecting sunny skies, light northwest winds shifting west, and daytime highs in the low to mid-80s for August 26. Stable high pressure and minimal moisture advection support this outcome, with precipitation chances near zero and dew points in the mid-50s to low-60s limiting afternoon buildup. Recent model runs show tight agreement across Central Park, LaGuardia, and Kennedy Airport sites, consistent with late-August climatology where averages hover near 82°F. Any last-minute adjustments from morning observations or updated guidance could influence the final Central Park reading used for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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