Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a minimum temperature of 8–10°C in Buenos Aires on August 26, reflecting consensus from recent ensemble model runs that a moderate polar air mass will arrive with limited additional cooling. Current atmospheric conditions show a strengthening high-pressure system over central Argentina steering cooler southerly flow, while sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic remain near seasonal norms, moderating overnight lows. Model spread remains notable, with some solutions indicating clearer skies that could allow further radiational cooling toward 7°C or below, versus others retaining more cloud cover and wind that would hold the minimum nearer 11°C. Resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, and updated model guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 26?
14°C or higher 49%
10°C 29%
4°C or below 28%
8°C 27%
4°C or below
28%
5°C
8%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
29%
11°C
20%
12°C
25%
13°C
14%
14°C or higher
49%
14°C or higher 49%
10°C 29%
4°C or below 28%
8°C 27%
4°C or below
28%
5°C
8%
6°C
26%
7°C
26%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
29%
11°C
20%
12°C
25%
13°C
14%
14°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a minimum temperature of 8–10°C in Buenos Aires on August 26, reflecting consensus from recent ensemble model runs that a moderate polar air mass will arrive with limited additional cooling. Current atmospheric conditions show a strengthening high-pressure system over central Argentina steering cooler southerly flow, while sea-surface temperatures in the adjacent Atlantic remain near seasonal norms, moderating overnight lows. Model spread remains notable, with some solutions indicating clearer skies that could allow further radiational cooling toward 7°C or below, versus others retaining more cloud cover and wind that would hold the minimum nearer 11°C. Resolution hinges on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations, and updated model guidance expected within the next 12–24 hours will likely narrow the range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania