Ongoing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 sea surface temperatures at +1.8°C and strengthening toward a very strong event, represent the dominant driver elevating overnight lows in Panama City above the 24°C August climatological average. Regional forecasts from IMHPA and international models indicate 2–3°C positive temperature anomalies through August–October, favoring clearer skies and reduced convective cooling during the rainy season, which supports trader clustering around 25–27°C minima. Short-term model guidance for August 26 points to nighttime temperatures near 25–26°C amid light winds and high humidity, though localized showers could briefly enhance radiative cooling and shift the low slightly lower. Resolution hinges on official overnight readings, with any model divergence in steering or moisture transport introducing modest uncertainty near the 50% probability band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Panama City on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on August 26?
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
23°C 46%
21°C 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
30%
21°C
38%
22°C
49%
23°C
46%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
27%
28°C
49%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
30%
22°C 49%
28°C 49%
23°C 46%
21°C 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Wol.
30%
21°C
$5 Wol.
38%
22°C
$5 Wol.
49%
23°C
$15 Wol.
46%
24°C
$0 Wol.
24%
25°C
$0 Wol.
27%
26°C
$0 Wol.
29%
27°C
$0 Wol.
27%
28°C
$20 Wol.
49%
29°C
$5 Wol.
14%
30°C or higher
$5 Wol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 sea surface temperatures at +1.8°C and strengthening toward a very strong event, represent the dominant driver elevating overnight lows in Panama City above the 24°C August climatological average. Regional forecasts from IMHPA and international models indicate 2–3°C positive temperature anomalies through August–October, favoring clearer skies and reduced convective cooling during the rainy season, which supports trader clustering around 25–27°C minima. Short-term model guidance for August 26 points to nighttime temperatures near 25–26°C amid light winds and high humidity, though localized showers could briefly enhance radiative cooling and shift the low slightly lower. Resolution hinges on official overnight readings, with any model divergence in steering or moisture transport introducing modest uncertainty near the 50% probability band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$60Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 sea surface temperatures at +1.8°C and strengthening toward a very strong event, represent the dominant driver elevating overnight lows in Panama City above the 24°C August climatological average. Regional forecasts from IMHPA and international models indicate 2–3°C positive temperature anomalies through August–October, favoring clearer skies and reduced convective cooling during the rainy season, which supports trader clustering around 25–27°C minima. Short-term model guidance for August 26 points to nighttime temperatures near 25–26°C amid light winds and high humidity, though localized showers could briefly enhance radiative cooling and shift the low slightly lower. Resolution hinges on official overnight readings, with any model divergence in steering or moisture transport introducing modest uncertainty near the 50% probability band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$60Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing El Niño conditions, with Niño-3.4 sea surface temperatures at +1.8°C and strengthening toward a very strong event, represent the dominant driver elevating overnight lows in Panama City above the 24°C August climatological average. Regional forecasts from IMHPA and international models indicate 2–3°C positive temperature anomalies through August–October, favoring clearer skies and reduced convective cooling during the rainy season, which supports trader clustering around 25–27°C minima. Short-term model guidance for August 26 points to nighttime temperatures near 25–26°C amid light winds and high humidity, though localized showers could briefly enhance radiative cooling and shift the low slightly lower. Resolution hinges on official overnight readings, with any model divergence in steering or moisture transport introducing modest uncertainty near the 50% probability band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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