Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 31–32°C peak in Panama City on August 26 because official and model forecasts for the date consistently project maximum temperatures in that narrow band amid the ongoing rainy season. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that caps daytime heating, while high humidity and soil moisture from recent showers further moderate extremes. Historical August normals place average highs near 30–31°C, with occasional spikes to 32–33°C only under clearer, drier spells. No anomalous warming signals or model outliers currently support outcomes above 33°C or below 30°C, keeping those tails at low single-digit probabilities. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on August 26?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 26?
31°C 35%
32°C 29%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
19%
31°C
35%
32°C
29%
33°C
11%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
32°C 29%
30°C 19%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$178 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$10 Wol.
1%
28°C
$129 Wol.
2%
29°C
$22 Wol.
6%
30°C
$0 Wol.
19%
31°C
$12 Wol.
35%
32°C
$973 Wol.
29%
33°C
$11 Wol.
11%
34°C
$20 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$63 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$217 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 31–32°C peak in Panama City on August 26 because official and model forecasts for the date consistently project maximum temperatures in that narrow band amid the ongoing rainy season. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that caps daytime heating, while high humidity and soil moisture from recent showers further moderate extremes. Historical August normals place average highs near 30–31°C, with occasional spikes to 32–33°C only under clearer, drier spells. No anomalous warming signals or model outliers currently support outcomes above 33°C or below 30°C, keeping those tails at low single-digit probabilities. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,635Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 31–32°C peak in Panama City on August 26 because official and model forecasts for the date consistently project maximum temperatures in that narrow band amid the ongoing rainy season. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that caps daytime heating, while high humidity and soil moisture from recent showers further moderate extremes. Historical August normals place average highs near 30–31°C, with occasional spikes to 32–33°C only under clearer, drier spells. No anomalous warming signals or model outliers currently support outcomes above 33°C or below 30°C, keeping those tails at low single-digit probabilities. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,635Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 31–32°C peak in Panama City on August 26 because official and model forecasts for the date consistently project maximum temperatures in that narrow band amid the ongoing rainy season. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that caps daytime heating, while high humidity and soil moisture from recent showers further moderate extremes. Historical August normals place average highs near 30–31°C, with occasional spikes to 32–33°C only under clearer, drier spells. No anomalous warming signals or model outliers currently support outcomes above 33°C or below 30°C, keeping those tails at low single-digit probabilities. Updated NWP runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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