Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum of 17–18 °C in London on 27 August, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air after overnight thunderstorms, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface observations from the preceding 48 hours show dew points near 16–18 °C and only modest wind speeds, reducing the potential for sharper drops, while historical August minima average near 13 °C. Traders therefore cluster between 18 °C and 19 °C implied probability, reflecting model spread on exact clearing timing and whether any brief post-rain break allows temperatures to reach the lower end of guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 27?
Lowest temperature in London on August 27?
18°C 39%
19°C 37%
20°C 13%
17°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
12%
18°C
39%
19°C
37%
20°C
13%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 39%
19°C 37%
20°C 13%
17°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
13°C or below
$20 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$20 Wol.
1%
15°C
$20 Wol.
1%
16°C
$20 Wol.
1%
17°C
$147 Wol.
12%
18°C
$508 Wol.
39%
19°C
$495 Wol.
37%
20°C
$318 Wol.
13%
21°C
$180 Wol.
4%
22°C
$20 Wol.
1%
23°C or higher
$20 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum of 17–18 °C in London on 27 August, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air after overnight thunderstorms, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface observations from the preceding 48 hours show dew points near 16–18 °C and only modest wind speeds, reducing the potential for sharper drops, while historical August minima average near 13 °C. Traders therefore cluster between 18 °C and 19 °C implied probability, reflecting model spread on exact clearing timing and whether any brief post-rain break allows temperatures to reach the lower end of guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,769Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum of 17–18 °C in London on 27 August, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air after overnight thunderstorms, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface observations from the preceding 48 hours show dew points near 16–18 °C and only modest wind speeds, reducing the potential for sharper drops, while historical August minima average near 13 °C. Traders therefore cluster between 18 °C and 19 °C implied probability, reflecting model spread on exact clearing timing and whether any brief post-rain break allows temperatures to reach the lower end of guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,769Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a minimum of 17–18 °C in London on 27 August, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air after overnight thunderstorms, combined with persistent cloud cover and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface observations from the preceding 48 hours show dew points near 16–18 °C and only modest wind speeds, reducing the potential for sharper drops, while historical August minima average near 13 °C. Traders therefore cluster between 18 °C and 19 °C implied probability, reflecting model spread on exact clearing timing and whether any brief post-rain break allows temperatures to reach the lower end of guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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