Latest forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show Incheon daytime highs stabilizing near 29–31°C on August 26, driving the tight clustering around 30°C (33% implied probability) and adjacent outcomes. Persistent North Pacific high pressure maintains above-normal warmth, yet increasing cloud cover, light westerly flow, and 20–30% shower chances limit further intensification compared to the mid-August peak. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable moisture and boundary-layer mixing, with official guidance centering on 29–31°C thresholds that align with historical late-August variability in the region. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 26?
30°C 33%
29°C 27%
31°C 20%
32°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
27%
30°C
33%
31°C
20%
32°C
12%
33°C or higher
7%
30°C 33%
29°C 27%
31°C 20%
32°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
24°C
$5 Wol.
3%
25°C
$5 Wol.
2%
26°C
$5 Wol.
5%
27°C
$18 Wol.
5%
28°C
$22 Wol.
8%
29°C
$31 Wol.
27%
30°C
$30 Wol.
33%
31°C
$8 Wol.
20%
32°C
$0 Wol.
12%
33°C or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show Incheon daytime highs stabilizing near 29–31°C on August 26, driving the tight clustering around 30°C (33% implied probability) and adjacent outcomes. Persistent North Pacific high pressure maintains above-normal warmth, yet increasing cloud cover, light westerly flow, and 20–30% shower chances limit further intensification compared to the mid-August peak. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable moisture and boundary-layer mixing, with official guidance centering on 29–31°C thresholds that align with historical late-August variability in the region. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$124Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show Incheon daytime highs stabilizing near 29–31°C on August 26, driving the tight clustering around 30°C (33% implied probability) and adjacent outcomes. Persistent North Pacific high pressure maintains above-normal warmth, yet increasing cloud cover, light westerly flow, and 20–30% shower chances limit further intensification compared to the mid-August peak. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable moisture and boundary-layer mixing, with official guidance centering on 29–31°C thresholds that align with historical late-August variability in the region. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$124Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models show Incheon daytime highs stabilizing near 29–31°C on August 26, driving the tight clustering around 30°C (33% implied probability) and adjacent outcomes. Persistent North Pacific high pressure maintains above-normal warmth, yet increasing cloud cover, light westerly flow, and 20–30% shower chances limit further intensification compared to the mid-August peak. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread due to variable moisture and boundary-layer mixing, with official guidance centering on 29–31°C thresholds that align with historical late-August variability in the region. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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