Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a developing heat wave across Southern California driven by strong high pressure aloft, reduced onshore flow, and anomalously warm sea-surface temperatures, yet coastal moderation from the marine layer and afternoon sea breezes keeps maximum readings at key Los Angeles stations closer to the low-to-mid 80s on August 25. Model consensus shows limited inland penetration of the hottest air tomorrow, with downtown and airport observations expected to peak several degrees below the extreme interior valley values exceeding 100°F. This coastal-inland contrast, combined with historical August variability around 77°F averages and the absence of strong offshore winds, supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 82–85°F while leaving room for revision if overnight low clouds dissipate faster than projected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 25?
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 39%
80-81°F 14%
78-79°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
41%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
6%
82-83°F 41%
84-85°F 39%
80-81°F 14%
78-79°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
77°F or below
$0 Wol.
2%
78-79°F
$12 Wol.
8%
80-81°F
$12 Wol.
14%
82-83°F
$87 Wol.
41%
84-85°F
$160 Wol.
39%
86-87°F
$12 Wol.
5%
88-89°F
$12 Wol.
5%
90-91°F
$12 Wol.
5%
92-93°F
$27 Wol.
6%
94-95°F
$0 Wol.
2%
96°F or higher
$27 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a developing heat wave across Southern California driven by strong high pressure aloft, reduced onshore flow, and anomalously warm sea-surface temperatures, yet coastal moderation from the marine layer and afternoon sea breezes keeps maximum readings at key Los Angeles stations closer to the low-to-mid 80s on August 25. Model consensus shows limited inland penetration of the hottest air tomorrow, with downtown and airport observations expected to peak several degrees below the extreme interior valley values exceeding 100°F. This coastal-inland contrast, combined with historical August variability around 77°F averages and the absence of strong offshore winds, supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 82–85°F while leaving room for revision if overnight low clouds dissipate faster than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$359Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a developing heat wave across Southern California driven by strong high pressure aloft, reduced onshore flow, and anomalously warm sea-surface temperatures, yet coastal moderation from the marine layer and afternoon sea breezes keeps maximum readings at key Los Angeles stations closer to the low-to-mid 80s on August 25. Model consensus shows limited inland penetration of the hottest air tomorrow, with downtown and airport observations expected to peak several degrees below the extreme interior valley values exceeding 100°F. This coastal-inland contrast, combined with historical August variability around 77°F averages and the absence of strong offshore winds, supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 82–85°F while leaving room for revision if overnight low clouds dissipate faster than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$359Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a developing heat wave across Southern California driven by strong high pressure aloft, reduced onshore flow, and anomalously warm sea-surface temperatures, yet coastal moderation from the marine layer and afternoon sea breezes keeps maximum readings at key Los Angeles stations closer to the low-to-mid 80s on August 25. Model consensus shows limited inland penetration of the hottest air tomorrow, with downtown and airport observations expected to peak several degrees below the extreme interior valley values exceeding 100°F. This coastal-inland contrast, combined with historical August variability around 77°F averages and the absence of strong offshore winds, supports the closely matched market-implied odds near 82–85°F while leaving room for revision if overnight low clouds dissipate faster than projected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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