Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 26 project a minimum temperature of 27°C under persistent southerly flow ahead of Tropical Cyclone Prapiroon’s passage, with cloudy skies, high humidity (75–95%), and frequent showers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance and recent model runs show limited overnight drops below this level, supporting the market’s leading 27°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Warmer minima near 28°C retain secondary support if cloud cover or rain timing reduces cooling, while the 26°C and lower bins reflect modest tail risk from localized heavier showers or brief clearer intervals. This setup aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical daily minima hover around 26–27°C amid active monsoon influences. Updated HKO guidance and overnight observations will refine resolution ahead of the daily minimum reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
27°C 48%
28°C 27%
26°C 22%
25°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
22%
27°C
48%
28°C
27%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 27%
26°C 22%
25°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$59 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$59 Wol.
1%
24°C
$267 Wol.
5%
25°C
$272 Wol.
8%
26°C
$523 Wol.
22%
27°C
$439 Wol.
48%
28°C
$519 Wol.
27%
29°C
$656 Wol.
2%
30°C
$195 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$299 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$59 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 26 project a minimum temperature of 27°C under persistent southerly flow ahead of Tropical Cyclone Prapiroon’s passage, with cloudy skies, high humidity (75–95%), and frequent showers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance and recent model runs show limited overnight drops below this level, supporting the market’s leading 27°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Warmer minima near 28°C retain secondary support if cloud cover or rain timing reduces cooling, while the 26°C and lower bins reflect modest tail risk from localized heavier showers or brief clearer intervals. This setup aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical daily minima hover around 26–27°C amid active monsoon influences. Updated HKO guidance and overnight observations will refine resolution ahead of the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,346Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 26 project a minimum temperature of 27°C under persistent southerly flow ahead of Tropical Cyclone Prapiroon’s passage, with cloudy skies, high humidity (75–95%), and frequent showers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance and recent model runs show limited overnight drops below this level, supporting the market’s leading 27°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Warmer minima near 28°C retain secondary support if cloud cover or rain timing reduces cooling, while the 26°C and lower bins reflect modest tail risk from localized heavier showers or brief clearer intervals. This setup aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical daily minima hover around 26–27°C amid active monsoon influences. Updated HKO guidance and overnight observations will refine resolution ahead of the daily minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,346Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 26 project a minimum temperature of 27°C under persistent southerly flow ahead of Tropical Cyclone Prapiroon’s passage, with cloudy skies, high humidity (75–95%), and frequent showers limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Ensemble guidance and recent model runs show limited overnight drops below this level, supporting the market’s leading 27°C outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Warmer minima near 28°C retain secondary support if cloud cover or rain timing reduces cooling, while the 26°C and lower bins reflect modest tail risk from localized heavier showers or brief clearer intervals. This setup aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where typical daily minima hover around 26–27°C amid active monsoon influences. Updated HKO guidance and overnight observations will refine resolution ahead of the daily minimum reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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